Value
5.3/10data confidence 40%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.1 |
BH-A · Why this verdict
Why Biglari Holdings (BH-A) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score4.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 1.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.7 |
| Op margin | 1.2 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 8.4 |
| Moat | 4.6 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
3.1/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.1 |
Momentum
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.3 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.3 |
| MA position | 7.2 |
| Volume | 4.5 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 81)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
7.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 9.0 |
| insider conviction | 8.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Heavy insider buying — $14,947,578 (1.509% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.0 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 0.5 |
Technical
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.2 |
| 52w position | 3.1 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.7 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| beta | 9.4 |
| debt equity | 6.9 |
Catalyst
6.1/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.99B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.1>=4.5
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- INSIDER:1.51%=EXTREME
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Insider at 7.4 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: INSIDER:1.51%=EXTREME.
The strongest dimensions are Insider at 7.4, Risk (lower is worse) at 6.2, and Catalyst at 6.1; the weakest are Technical at 2.1, Peer rank at 2.4, and Growth at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.