Moog Inc. (MOG-B) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $307.40: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).
Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace/defense (Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft) and Industrial markets globally. US Government contracts represented 38% of 2025 sales; Boeing represented 10%;... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $307.40: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomeraerospace and defense OEM customers61%10-K Item 1: 'Aerospace and defense OEM customers collectively represented 61% of 2025 sales.'
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government contracts38%10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, sales under U.S. Government contracts represented 38% of total sales'
- LOWCustomerThe Boeing Company10%10-K Item 1A: 'We provide Boeing with controls for both military and commercial applications, as well as controls for space and defense applications, which totaled 10% of our 2025 sales.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-03Item 1.02MEDIUMMoog redeemed all $500M of 4.250% Senior Notes due 2027 effective April 3, 2026; indenture satisfied and discharged. Funded with proceeds from new 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 plus cash on hand.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-24Item 1.01LOWMoog completed $500M offering of 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 on March 24, 2026. Notes pay interest semiannually; callable starting April 2029 with make-whole premium or equity clawback at 105.5%.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-24Item 2.04LOWTriggering event: new 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 issuance on March 24, 2026 constitutes a direct financial obligation. No default.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $307.40: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $302.53. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $322.31 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $302.53. Stop-loss: $302.53.
Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Moog Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover MOG-B with a consensus score of 4.1/5.
What does Moog Inc. do?Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace/defense (Space and...
Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace/defense (Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft) and Industrial markets globally. US Government contracts represented 38% of 2025 sales; Boeing represented 10%; aerospace/defense OEM customers collectively represented 61%. Twelve-month backlog was $3.0B as of September 27, 2025.