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WWDWoodward, Inc.Sell5.6·$386.85-0.35%
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Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $386.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away).

Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets, with approximately 10,200 employees globally. The Aerospace segment serves commercial and military aircraft OEMs; Industrial serves gas turbines and reciprocating engines.... Read more

$386.85-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#17 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.84%
IncomeYield0.33%(5y avg 0.58%)Payout13.89%sustainable
Stop $362.83Target $384.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$437.09+13.0%11 analysts
$384.91our TP
$386.85price
$437.09mean
$470

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $386.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (5.0% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.5
P/E (Fwd)36.1
Mkt Cap$23.1B
EV/EBITDA32.9
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta0.89
Dividend0.33%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers36%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our five largest customers represented approximately 36% of our consolidated net sales for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025'
  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government20%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales made directly to U.S. Government agencies and entities, or indirectly through third-party manufacturers utilizing our parts and subassemblies, collectively represented 20% of our sales for fiscal year 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-24Item 5.02LOW
    Frederico F. Curado elected to Woodward Board of Directors effective June 1, 2026, also appointed to Audit Committee. Board size increased from nine to ten directors. Routine board appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.7
Forward Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
4.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
6.4
Forward P/E: 36.1xPEG: 2.46

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.0
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $337.06Resistance $392.77

Price Targets

$363
$385
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WWD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $386.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $362.83. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $384.91 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $362.83. Stop-loss: $362.83.

What are the risks of investing in WWD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (5.0% away); Expensive valuation.

Is WWD overvalued or undervalued?

Woodward, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.5 (forward 36.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WWD?

17 analysts cover WWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $437.

What does Woodward, Inc. do?Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets, with...

Woodward designs, manufactures, and services energy control solutions for aerospace and industrial markets, with approximately 10,200 employees globally. The Aerospace segment serves commercial and military aircraft OEMs; Industrial serves gas turbines and reciprocating engines. Top 5 customers represented approximately 36% of FY2025 consolidated net sales.

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