Ball Corporation (BALL) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.11 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: beverage containers.
Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum packaging, primarily beverage containers, for consumer goods companies globally with $13.16 billion in 2025 net sales; 53% from outside the U.S. Products are sold under long-term supply contracts to a limited number of major multinational... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.11 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: beverage containers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductbeverage containers10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our consolidated net sales were from the sale of beverage containers'
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of major beverage, personal care and household product companies10-K Item 1A: 'We sell a majority of our packaging products to a relatively limited number of major beverage, personal care and household product companies'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.11 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: beverage containers. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $58.31. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $61.65 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $58.31. Stop-loss: $58.31.
Concentration risk — Product: beverage containers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
Ball Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover BALL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $71.
What does Ball Corporation do?Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum packaging, primarily beverage containers, for consumer goods companies globally...
Ball Corporation manufactures aluminum packaging, primarily beverage containers, for consumer goods companies globally with $13.16 billion in 2025 net sales; 53% from outside the U.S. Products are sold under long-term supply contracts to a limited number of major multinational companies. Ball held $7.01 billion of debt at December 31, 2025.