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SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.Sell6.0·$37.93
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Silgan Holdings trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times with a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.19 and analysts see 31% upside, but a confirmed price downtrend, mixed earnings history, and an officer departure signal create near-term uncertainty despite the attractive valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward Pe 10x↑Improving
  • Leadership Change Signal→Stable
  • Mixed Earnings Beat Miss↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.93: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in... Read more

$37.93+17.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 18 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.82%
IncomeYield2.21%(5y avg 1.52%)Payout32.16%sustainable
Stop $35.57Analyst target $44.45(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst consensus$51.09+34.7%11 analysts
$44.45Analyst target
$37.93price
$51.09mean
$61

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.93: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.67
Dividend2.21%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.11bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$23-40.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductmetal containers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'our metal containers business had net sales of $3.1 billion (approximately 48.4 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • MEDIUMProductdispensing and specialty closures42%
    10-K Item 1: 'our dispensing and specialty closures business had net sales of $2.7 billion (approximately 41.8 percent of our consolidated net sales)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 5.02LOW
    On May 26, 2026, stockholders approved First Amendment to Silgan Holdings Inc.'s Second Amended and Restated 2004 Stock Incentive Plan: adds 4,000,000 shares, raises per-participant RSU cap to 1,200,000 per 36-month period, and extends plan term to June 30, 2031.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.70Resistance $41.15

Price Targets

$36
$44
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.93: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $35.57. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the SLGN stock price target?

Analyst target: $44.45 (+17.2% upside). Prior stop was $35.57. Stop-loss: $35.57.

What are the risks of investing in SLGN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Silgan Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLGN?

21 analysts cover SLGN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Silgan Holdings Inc. do?Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and...

Silgan Holdings manufactures sustainable rigid packaging — dispensing and specialty closures, metal containers, and custom containers — through 121 plants across North America, Europe, Asia, and South America, generating approximately $6.5 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025. The company holds more than half of the US metal food container market by unit volume, with approximately 90% of metal container volumes covered under multi-year supply agreements.

Related stocks: MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · AMCR (Amcor plc) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) · CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.)
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