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GEF-BGreif, Inc. CorporationSell5.8·$85.12+2.21%
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Greif, Inc. Corporation (GEF-B) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $85.12. Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single... Read more

$85.12-1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.04%(5y avg 4.44%)Payout88.98%at-risk
Stop $79.92Target $84.08(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $85.12. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE
Rev Growth-0.5%
Beta0.81
Dividend4.04%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37% of our fiscal 2024 sales derived from non-U.S. operations'
  • LOWGeographicRussia3.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our operations in Russia accounted for approximately 3% of our net sales, approximately 9% of our operating profit and approximately 2% of our total assets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Greif terminated its Prior Credit Agreement on February 27, 2026, replaced in its entirety by a new Third Amended and Restated senior secured credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank providing $800M revolving and $100M term loan facilities maturing February 27, 2031.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
8.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 8.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.11Resistance $85.80

Price Targets

$80
$84
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEF-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $85.12. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $79.92. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEF-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.08 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $79.92. Stop-loss: $79.92.

What are the risks of investing in GEF-B?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GEF-B overvalued or undervalued?

Greif, Inc. Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GEF-B?

10 analysts cover GEF-B with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does Greif, Inc. Corporation do?Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global...

Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single customer considered principal to total operations.

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