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REYNReynolds Consumer Products Inc.Sell5.6·$23.05
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Reynolds Consumer Products offers an attractively valued packaging franchise with a PEG ratio of 0.15 and consistent earnings beats, but the stock has already reached and slightly exceeded analyst price targets while carrying 16% short interest, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Discount To Growth↓Deteriorating
  • Balance Sheet Financial Health→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Momentum→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.05 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including aluminum foil, trash bags, disposable tableware, and food storage bags, across four segments generating $3.72 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes... Read more

$23.05-0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 18 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.03%
IncomeYield3.99%(5y avg 3.46%)Payout56.10%sustainable
Stop $22.05Analyst target $22.87(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$26.29+14.0%7 analysts
$23.05price
$26.29mean
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.05 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.54
Dividend3.99%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$18-24.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.40Resistance $23.66

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.05 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.05. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the REYN stock price target?

Analyst target $22.87 reached (−0.8% from $23.05); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $22.05. Stop-loss: $22.05.

What are the risks of investing in REYN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is REYN overvalued or undervalued?

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REYN?

13 analysts cover REYN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. do?Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including...

Reynolds Consumer Products manufactures and sells household products under the Reynolds and Hefty brands, including aluminum foil, trash bags, disposable tableware, and food storage bags, across four segments generating $3.72 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes primarily from retail sales to large U.S. retailers, with three customers accounting for 59% of total revenue and the top ten customers representing 74%.

Related stocks: MYE (Myers Industries, Inc.) · AMCR (Amcor plc) · AMBP (Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.) · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.) · KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.)
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