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CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.Sell6.4·$100.41+1.48%
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Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $100.41, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%).

Crown Holdings manufactures metal cans and ends for beverages, food, and aerosol markets plus transit packaging products, operating 179 plants in 39 countries with approximately 23,000 employees. The company generated $12.4 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025, with... Read more

$100.41+8.6% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.95%
IncomeYield1.23%(5y avg 0.99%)Payout17.97%sustainable
Stop $95.69Target $108.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$125.00+24.5%13 analysts
$108.75our TP
$100.41price
$125.00mean
$142

Sell if holding. At $100.41, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta0.63
Dividend1.23%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.24bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$115+14.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductglobal beverage can business73%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 73% of the Company's consolidated net sales were derived from the Company's global beverage can business.'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations61%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's international operations generated approximately 61% of its consolidated net sales in the year ended 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten global customers48%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company's top ten global customers represented in the aggregate approximately 48% of its 2025 consolidated net sales.'
  • LOWCustomerone customer (12% of net sales)12%
    10-K Item 1: 'one customer accounted for approximately 12%, 12%, and 11%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated net sales'
  • LOWCustomeranother customer (11% of net sales)11%
    10-K Item 1: 'another customer accounted for approximately 11%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, of the Company's consolidated net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Crown Holdings announced the promotion of Dr. John M. Rost (age 56), current President of the Asia Pacific Division, to Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer — Asia Pacific and Transit Packaging, effective April 1, 2026. No reason cited; internal promotion with clean succession.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
1.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.3
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.31Resistance $101.59

Price Targets

$96
$109
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $100.41, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $95.69. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.75 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $95.69. Stop-loss: $95.69.

What are the risks of investing in CCK?

Concentration risk — Product: global beverage can business (73.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (61.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.6%.

Is CCK overvalued or undervalued?

Crown Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCK?

20 analysts cover CCK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $125.

What does Crown Holdings, Inc. do?Crown Holdings manufactures metal cans and ends for beverages, food, and aerosol markets plus transit packaging...

Crown Holdings manufactures metal cans and ends for beverages, food, and aerosol markets plus transit packaging products, operating 179 plants in 39 countries with approximately 23,000 employees. The company generated $12.4 billion in consolidated net sales in 2025, with approximately 73% derived from its global beverage can business and 61% from international operations.

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