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CCKCrown Holdings, Inc.Sell6.1·$95.67+3.94%
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Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Crown Holdings is a global diversified packaging manufacturer with $12.4B in 2025 consolidated net sales and 179 plants in 39 countries. Four segments: Americas Beverage ($5.6B), European Beverage ($2.3B), Asia Pacific ($1.1B), and Transit Packaging ($2.0B). Approximately 73% of... Read more

$95.67+13.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 16 Packaging & Containers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.39%
IncomeYield1.33%(5y avg 0.99%)Payout17.97%sustainable
Stop $91.05Target $108.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$125.00+30.7%13 analysts
$108.75our TP
$95.67price
$125.00mean
$142

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$10.3B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn5.7%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta0.63
Dividend1.33%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$115+20.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.2
Macd
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.31Resistance $100.95

Price Targets

$91
$109
A.Upside+13.7%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $91.05. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.75 (+13.7% upside). Prior stop was $91.05. Stop-loss: $91.05.

What are the risks of investing in CCK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.

Is CCK overvalued or undervalued?

Crown Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCK?

20 analysts cover CCK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $125.

What does Crown Holdings, Inc. do?Crown Holdings is a global diversified packaging manufacturer with $12.4B in 2025 consolidated net sales and 179 plants...

Crown Holdings is a global diversified packaging manufacturer with $12.4B in 2025 consolidated net sales and 179 plants in 39 countries. Four segments: Americas Beverage ($5.6B), European Beverage ($2.3B), Asia Pacific ($1.1B), and Transit Packaging ($2.0B). Approximately 73% of net sales come from the global beverage can business; 61% of net sales are from international operations.

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