Greif Inc. (GEF) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. At $63.34, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).
Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single... Read more
Sell if holding. At $63.34, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Greif Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Greif Commits to Science Based Targets Initiative and Releases 17th Annual Sustainability Report - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire neutral
- NEWS Greif (NYSE:GEF) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings Flash (GEF) Greif, Inc. Posts Q2 Adjusted EPS $1.10 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $1.07 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Greif (GEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool neutral
- NEWS Greif (GEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations37%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37% of our fiscal 2024 sales derived from non-U.S. operations'
- LOWGeographicRussia3.0%10-K Item 1A: 'our operations in Russia accounted for approximately 3% of our net sales, approximately 9% of our operating profit and approximately 2% of our total assets'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-05Item 1.02MEDIUMGreif terminated its Prior Credit Agreement on February 27, 2026, replaced in its entirety by a new Third Amended and Restated senior secured credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank providing $800M revolving and $100M term loan facilities maturing February 27, 2031.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $63.34, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $60.48. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $66.29 (+4.7% upside). Prior stop was $60.48. Stop-loss: $60.48.
Thin upside margin: 4.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Greif Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GEF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $76.
What does Greif Inc. do?Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global...
Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single customer considered principal to total operations.