Greif Inc. (GEF) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Greif Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Greif Commits to Science Based Targets Initiative and Releases 17th Annual Sustainability Report - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire neutral
- NEWS Greif (NYSE:GEF) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Earnings Flash (GEF) Greif, Inc. Posts Q2 Adjusted EPS $1.10 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $1.07 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Greif (GEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool neutral
- NEWS Greif (GEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations37%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 37% of our fiscal 2024 sales derived from non-U.S. operations'
- LOWGeographicRussia3.0%10-K Item 1A: 'our operations in Russia accounted for approximately 3% of our net sales, approximately 9% of our operating profit and approximately 2% of our total assets'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-05Item 1.02MEDIUMGreif terminated its Prior Credit Agreement on February 27, 2026, replaced in its entirety by a new Third Amended and Restated senior secured credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank providing $800M revolving and $100M term loan facilities maturing February 27, 2031.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $69.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $66.68. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $68.85 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $66.68. Stop-loss: $66.68.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Greif Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GEF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $76.
What does Greif Inc. do?Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global...
Greif is a global industrial packaging producer with operations in 35+ countries across three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. Revenue spans chemicals, food, petroleum, automotive, and other industries, with no single customer considered principal to total operations.