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BABoeing Company (The)Sell4.9·$219.00-1.19%
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Boeing Company (The) (BA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $219.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Boeing designs and markets commercial jets, military systems, and aerospace services through three segments — Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space & Security, and Global Services — to airlines, the U.S. Department of War, and global defense customers. With approximately 182,000... Read more

$219.00+10.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#38 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.48%
Stop $204.09Target $243.00(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$270.00+23.3%25 analysts
$243.00our TP
$219.00price
$270.00mean
$300

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $219.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Boeing Company (The)

About Boeing Company (The)

Boeing generates revenue across three segments — Commercial Airplanes (BCA), Defense Space & Security (BDS), and Global Services (BGS) — with non-U.S. customers accounting for 46% of total revenues in 2025, including 60% of BCA revenue from customer contracts. The total workforce stood at approximately 182,000 at December 31, 2025, with roughly 72,000 union-represented employees. The 777X wide-body program, launched in 2013, targets first delivery in 2027 and recognized $4.9 billion in additional reach-forward losses in 2025.

BCA sells commercial jetliners — the 737 narrow-body and the 767, 777, and 787 wide-bodies — to global airlines under firm fixed-price contracts with indexed price escalation clauses, tying realized revenue to labor and commodity price indices that can fluctuate significantly from period to period. Significant deterioration in airline profitability or consolidation among major airline customers may result in fewer new orders or postponement of deliveries. BDS serves the U.S. Department of War and other government agencies with manned and unmanned military aircraft, missile systems, and satellite solutions, competing primarily against General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX Corporation, and SpaceX. BGS provides aftermarket support including supply chain management, maintenance, pilot training, and digital analytics across both commercial and defense platforms. The most critical raw materials are aluminum, titanium, and composites including carbon and boron; qualification of alternative sources typically takes a year or more. Many major components are procured on a sole-source basis, making supplier performance a direct constraint on production rates and program profitability.

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Boeing's labor arrangements include 32 independent agreements with nine U.S. unions as of December 31, 2025. IAM District 751, representing over 30,000 manufacturing employees primarily in Washington state, struck for 53 days in 2024, halting most commercial aircraft production; in 2025, IAM District 837 at St. Louis — covering approximately 3,200 employees — struck for 101 days, disrupting F/A-18, F-15, T-7A, MQ-25, and Weapons programs. Both strikes occurred despite tentative agreements supported by union leadership, illustrating that ratification outcomes remain unpredictable. Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace (SPEEA) holds contracts in Washington and Kansas expiring in October 2026, putting near-term negotiations back on the calendar.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From Boeing Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. BCA revenue (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source components
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)86.9
P/E (Fwd)52.4
Mkt Cap$172.7B
EV/EBITDA-62.0
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE169.9%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$370+68.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. customers46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'non-U.S. customers...accounted for 46% of our total revenues and 60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue from customer contracts'
  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. BCA revenue60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'non-U.S. customers...60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue from customer contracts'
  • MEDIUMCustomercommercial airlines
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant portion of our revenues from a limited number of commercial airlines'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source components
    10-K Item 1: 'Many major components and product equipment items are procured or subcontracted on a sole-source basis'
  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial portion of our revenue from the U.S. government, primarily from defense related programs with the United States Department of War (DoW)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.3
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.2
Value Rank
4.5
Quality Rank
6.1
Superior ROE vs peers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.7
Net Margin
1.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
6.0
Fcf Quality
7.6
Roe
10.0
Excellent ROE: 170%
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $207.95Resistance $232.30

Price Targets

$204
$243
A.Upside+11.0%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-6.5% YoY), High leverage (D/E 3.7)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $219.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $204.09. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $243.00 (+10.9% upside). Prior stop was $204.09. Stop-loss: $204.09.

What are the risks of investing in BA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. BCA revenue (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source components; Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is BA overvalued or undervalued?

Boeing Company (The) trades at a P/E of 86.9 (forward 52.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BA?

37 analysts cover BA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $270.

What does Boeing Company (The) do?Boeing designs and markets commercial jets, military systems, and aerospace services through three segments —...

Boeing designs and markets commercial jets, military systems, and aerospace services through three segments — Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space & Security, and Global Services — to airlines, the U.S. Department of War, and global defense customers. With approximately 182,000 employees at December 31, 2025, Boeing earns revenue from aircraft deliveries under firm fixed-price contracts with escalation clauses, and from long-cycle defense and services programs.

Related stocks: HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation) · HEI (Heico Corporation) · FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · BWXT (BWX Technologies, Inc.)
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