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AUAngloGold Ashanti PLCBuy Wait7.4·$82.00+5.30%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AngloGold Ashanti presents a compelling combination of exceptional profitability, wide moat characteristics, and steep growth alongside an attractive forward multiple — but a recent gap-up has compressed near-term asymmetry to below the minimum entry threshold, and three prior quarterly misses create uncertainty about whether earnings delivery has durably improved.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Earnings GrowthStable
  • Thin Asymmetry Blocks New EntryImproving
  • Wide Moat Elite ProfitabilityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $77.32. BUY gates pass at $82.00, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $77.32 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria... Read more

$82.00+20.6% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#3 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.04%
IncomeYield5.83%(5y avg 2.16%)Payout52.35%sustainable
Entry $77.32(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $70.82Target $99.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$114.13+39.2%8 analysts
$99.29our TP
$82.00price
$114.13mean
$76
$134

Wait for pullback to $77.32. BUY gates pass at $82.00, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $77.32 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$39.4B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE43.0%
Rev Growth64.9%
Beta0.67
Dividend5.83%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$65-20.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.6
Support Resistance
2.8
52w Position
3.3
Gap
5.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 7.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.56Resistance $85.40

Price Targets

$71
$77
$99
A.Upside+20.6%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $77.32. BUY gates pass at $82.00, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $77.32 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $99.29 (+21.1%), stop $70.82 (−15.8%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.29 (+20.6% upside). Target $99.29 (+21.1%), stop $70.82 (−15.8%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $70.82.

Is AU overvalued or undervalued?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AU?

17 analysts cover AU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $114.

What does AngloGold Ashanti PLC do?AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold,...

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company's flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine located in the Lake Victoria goldfields of the Geita region in northwestern Tanzania. AngloGold Ashanti plc was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.

Related stocks: KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation)
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