Value
8.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.5 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.04
- ▸Attractively valued
AU · Why this verdict
Why AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
9.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 6.7 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.1 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 9.0 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 43%
- ▸Strong margins: 31%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 65% YoY
Momentum
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 5.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.7 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (7.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 42%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.3 |
| quality rank | 6.8 |
| growth rank | 3.0 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.9 |
| support resistance | 9.5 |
| 52w position | 3.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.5 |
| days to cover | 9.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.1 |
| beta | 9.2 |
| debt equity | 9.1 |
- ▸High IV: 80%
Catalyst
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Dividend: 545.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C_QUALITY_VALUE_WAIT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.2>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.17
Upside
+23.4%
Downside
10.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (9.1) with weak momentum (2.6)
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+value combination triggered the HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict: quality 9.1 and value 8.6 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 2.17 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 9.1, and Value at 8.6; the weakest are Momentum at 2.6, Peer rank at 3.8, and Catalyst at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.17 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.