Skip to main content

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re (ASML) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1435.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Expensive valuation.

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet... Read more

$1435.25+4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Stop $1335.10Target $1498.67(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$1665.19+16.0%15 analysts
$1498.67our TP
$1435.25price
$1665.19mean
$909
$2005

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1435.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.4
P/E (Fwd)30.1
Mkt Cap$554.6B
EV/EBITDA43.2
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE52.2%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.38
Dividend0.61%
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$960-33.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.6
Forward Pe
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.4
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 30.1xPEG: 2.14
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1269.85Resistance $1529.15

Price Targets

$1335
$1499
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASML stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1435.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1498.67 (+4.4%), stop $1335.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASML stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1498.67 (+4.4% upside). Target $1498.67 (+4.4%), stop $1335.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $1335.10.

What are the risks of investing in ASML?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Expensive valuation.

Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re trades at a P/E of 47.4 (forward 30.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ASML?

42 analysts cover ASML with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $1665.

What does ASML Holding N.V. - New York Re do?ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and...

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) · KLAC (KLA Corporation) · AMAT (Applied Materials, Inc.) · TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur) · MU (Micron Technology, Inc.)