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KLACKLA CorporationSell5.3·$256.21-89.38%
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KLA Corporation (KLAC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $256.21 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited.

KLA Corporation supplies process control and process-enabling equipment for semiconductor, PCB, and advanced packaging manufacturing across three segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, and PCB and Component Inspection. International revenues... Read more

$256.21-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#12 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.87%
IncomeYield0.36%(5y avg 0.95%)Payout21.52%sustainable
Stop $236.72Target $249.83(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$192.62-24.8%29 analysts
$249.83our TP
$256.21price
$192.62mean
$150

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $256.21 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)71.9
P/E (Fwd)50.4
Mkt Cap$332.5B
EV/EBITDA57.0
Profit Mgn35.7%
ROE95.0%
Rev Growth11.5%
Beta1.50
Dividend0.36%
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV99%elevated
Max Pain$290+13.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
    10-K Item 1: 'Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited' accounted for more than 10% of total revenues in fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenue from sales of products and provision of services to customers in China was 33%, 43% and 27% for fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
1.4
Forward Pe
2.3
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.9
Forward P/E: 50.4xPEG: 2.67Expensive valuation
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $169.03Resistance $254.93

Price Targets

$237
$250
A.Upside-2.5%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-31.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KLAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $256.21 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $236.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KLAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $249.83 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $236.72. Stop-loss: $236.72.

What are the risks of investing in KLAC?

Concentration risk — Customer: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Is KLAC overvalued or undervalued?

KLA Corporation trades at a P/E of 71.9 (forward 50.4). TrendMatrix value score: 2.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KLAC?

36 analysts cover KLAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $193.

What does KLA Corporation do?KLA Corporation supplies process control and process-enabling equipment for semiconductor, PCB, and advanced packaging...

KLA Corporation supplies process control and process-enabling equipment for semiconductor, PCB, and advanced packaging manufacturing across three segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, and PCB and Component Inspection. International revenues accounted for approximately 89% of total revenues in fiscal 2025, with China representing 33% of revenues that year.

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