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SNDKSandisk CorporationSell5.7·$2106.95+6.41%
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Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $2106.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Flash Ventures with Kioxia.

Sandisk is a developer, manufacturer and provider of NAND flash-based data storage devices across Cloud, Client, and Consumer end markets, separated from Western Digital in February 2025. Products include enterprise SSDs, embedded mobile storage, removable cards, and USB drives;... Read more

$2106.95-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 14 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.77%
Stop $1957.65Target $2077.50(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$1751.32-16.9%22 analysts
$2077.50our TP
$2106.95price
$1751.32mean
$1000
$3250

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $2106.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Flash Ventures with Kioxia. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 24, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Flash Ventures with Kioxia
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-4.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.6
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$293.2B
EV/EBITDA51.4
Profit Mgn34.2%
ROE39.3%
Rev Growth251.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV112%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierFlash Ventures with Kioxia
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our flash-based memory is obtained from our joint ventures with Kioxia'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
3.0
52w Position
9.9
Extreme gap up (6.1%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1277.33Resistance $2119.90

Price Targets

$1958
$2078
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-24 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNDK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $2106.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Flash Ventures with Kioxia. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1957.65. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNDK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2077.50 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $1957.65. Stop-loss: $1957.65.

What are the risks of investing in SNDK?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Flash Ventures with Kioxia; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-4.1% away).

Is SNDK overvalued or undervalued?

Sandisk Corporation trades at a P/E of 67.6 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNDK?

29 analysts cover SNDK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $1751.

What does Sandisk Corporation do?Sandisk is a developer, manufacturer and provider of NAND flash-based data storage devices across Cloud, Client, and...

Sandisk is a developer, manufacturer and provider of NAND flash-based data storage devices across Cloud, Client, and Consumer end markets, separated from Western Digital in February 2025. Products include enterprise SSDs, embedded mobile storage, removable cards, and USB drives; international sales represented 80% of FY2025 net revenue.

Related stocks: WDC (Western Digital Corporation) · ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.) · DELL (Dell Technologies Inc.) · STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC)
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