AdvanSix trades at a cheap multiple with a strong balance-sheet score, but weak free-cash-flow conversion keeps quality below the engine's floor, and a yield-trap warning plus a failed asymmetry gate temper the near-term risk/reward.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Engine Floor→Stable
- Attractively Valued Cheap Multiple→Stable
- Yield Trap Warning→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Basic Materials · Chemicals
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.48: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
AdvanSix is an integrated specialty chemicals producer operating five U.S. manufacturing facilities that make Nylon 6 resin and caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer (plant nutrients), and chemical intermediates such as acetone and phenol, serving building/construction,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.48: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About AdvanSix Inc.
About AdvanSix Inc.
AdvanSix operates five vertically integrated U.S. manufacturing facilities in Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Alabama, anchored by its Hopewell, Virginia complex, one of the world's largest single-site producers of both caprolactam and ammonium sulfate. The company generated $1,522 million in sales during 2025 led by plant nutrients (37%), chemical intermediates (25%), nylon resin (20%), and caprolactam (18%), serving building and construction, agriculture, and plastics end markets, with 86% of sales domestic to the United States.
AdvanSix sells to approximately 375 customers, converting benzene- and propylene-derived cumene into phenol, acetone, and AMS at its Frankford, Pennsylvania plant, then further processing phenol at Hopewell, Virginia into caprolactam and, ultimately, Aegis-brand Nylon 6 resin at its Chesterfield, Virginia facility; in 2025, approximately 53% of Hopewell's caprolactam output was shipped to Chesterfield for polymerization. The company positions itself as the world's lowest-cost caprolactam producer by combining vertical integration into phenol, ammonia, and sulfuric acid feedstocks with access to low-cost domestic natural gas, a key input for ammonia production, at a time when many overseas competitors face substantially higher energy costs. Ammonium sulfate, generated at roughly four pounds per pound of caprolactam produced, competes as a nitrogen-and-sulfur fertilizer holding about 6% of the global nitrogen fertilizer market but more than 40% of the global sulfur fertilizer market, benefiting from anti-dumping duties on Chinese ammonium sulfate imports through a 2028 sunset review.
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AdvanSix's nylon franchise sits in a soft part of its demand cycle: the 10-K flags continued weak building-and-construction, food-packaging, and automotive-engineering-plastics demand in North America through 2026, even as Chinese Nylon 6 operating rates remain at multi-year highs and continue to push exports into Southeast Asia and other regions. Because nylon resin pricing typically tracks a spread over caprolactam, which itself tracks a spread over benzene-derived phenol and cyclohexane, AdvanSix's margins in that segment depend on regional supply-demand balance holding even as a lower-rate-driven housing recovery remains only a hoped-for catalyst rather than a confirmed one. Plant Nutrients and Chemical Intermediates, which together generated 62% of 2025 sales, provide a structural offset to this nylon-cycle softness that a single-product competitor would not have.
See also: Basic Materials · Chemicals
From AdvanSix Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.48: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.05. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $22.42 (+9.5% upside). Prior stop was $19.05. Stop-loss: $19.05.
Target reached (-2.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).
AdvanSix Inc. trades at a P/E of 58.2 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover ASIX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.
What does AdvanSix Inc. do?AdvanSix is an integrated specialty chemicals producer operating five U.S. manufacturing facilities that make Nylon 6...
AdvanSix is an integrated specialty chemicals producer operating five U.S. manufacturing facilities that make Nylon 6 resin and caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer (plant nutrients), and chemical intermediates such as acetone and phenol, serving building/construction, agriculture, plastics, and packaging end markets. The company generated $1,522 million in sales and $49 million in net income in 2025, with plant nutrients the largest product line at 37% of sales, 86% of sales domestic to the U.S., and its Hopewell, Virginia facility ranking as the world's largest single-site producer of bo