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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Free cash flow generation at a 23% margin and a 24% average earnings surprise over recent quarters demonstrate operational discipline; however, quality scores below the minimum acceptable floor, a confirmed price downtrend with a death cross, a put/call ratio of 5-to-1, and 35% short interest create an adverse risk profile that does not support holding a position.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
  • Below Minimum Quality Floor↑Improving
  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Asana, Inc. (ASAN) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality.

Asana provides a cloud-based work management platform serving over 180,000 paying customers across 200 countries as of January 31, 2026, with revenue from seat-based subscriptions across Personal, Starter, Advanced, Enterprise, and Enterprise+ tiers plus AI add-on products. The... Read more

$11.75-24.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#96 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield7.32%
Stop $10.93Analyst target $8.90(reached)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst consensus$10.23-12.9%13 analysts
$11.75price
$10.23mean
$6
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Asana, Inc.

About Asana, Inc.

Asana's platform served over 180,000 paying customers across 200 countries and territories as of January 31, 2026, including 25,928 Core customers spending $5,000 or more annually and 817 customers spending $100,000 or more. The company reported a net loss of $189.0 million for fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, and an accumulated deficit of $2,149.7 million. Revenue derives substantially from seat-based subscriptions to a single collaborative work management platform.

Asana sells subscriptions through five tiers—Personal, Starter, Advanced, Enterprise, and Enterprise+—supplemented by AI-augmented add-on products including AI Teammates and AI Studio. Distribution combines a product-led motion using free trials and self-service with a direct sales team and channel partners spanning more than 50 countries. For Core customers, the dollar-based net retention rate was 97% as of January 31, 2026; for customers spending $100,000 or more annually, it was 96%, comprising 817 accounts. The platform integrates with over 300 third-party applications and maintains partnerships with OpenAI and Anthropic to power AI features. Cloud infrastructure runs on Amazon Web Services as the preferred cloud provider. The 10-K identifies competitive pressure from large productivity suite vendors, specialized work management solutions, and companies that may incorporate AI to improve their offerings.

Show full overview

Asana has achieved FedRAMP 'In Process' designation at the Moderate level, positioning the company to serve government agencies and regulated industries through Asana Gov. The 10-K also notes that revenue growth may be affected by macroeconomic conditions—including tariffs, fluctuating interest rates, and instability in financial markets—that could weigh on software spending, and that longer sales cycles and reduced renewal rates have been observed in prior periods as a result of these conditions.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Asana, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Asana, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:50Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 2, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: single software solution
Target reached (-24.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)25.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-23.8
Profit Mgn-18.6%
ROE-93.8%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsingle software solution
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive substantially all of our revenues from a single software solution and products available as add-ons to that solution'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Matt Cohler, Adam D'Angelo, and Lorrie Norrington tendered resignations on April 14, 2026, effective at the 2026 Annual Meeting (June 8, 2026). Described as orderly Board refreshment. No disagreements cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee adopted Incentive Bonus Plan on March 10, 2026, allowing cash incentive bonus awards to employees including CEO and CFO based on performance goals. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
3.7
Value Rank
6.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
5.2
Gap
6.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -18.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
3.7
Moat
5.1
Rule Of 40
5.5
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
8.8
Gross Margin
10.0
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 24%, FCF yield 7.3%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.49Resistance $12.24

Price Targets

A.Upside-24.2%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-02 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.93. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASAN stock price target?

Analyst target $8.90 reached (−24.2% from $11.75); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $10.93. Stop-loss: $10.93.

What are the risks of investing in ASAN?

Concentration risk — Product: single software solution; Target reached (-24.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is ASAN overvalued or undervalued?

Asana, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASAN?

22 analysts cover ASAN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Asana, Inc. do?Asana provides a cloud-based work management platform serving over 180,000 paying customers across 200 countries as of...

Asana provides a cloud-based work management platform serving over 180,000 paying customers across 200 countries as of January 31, 2026, with revenue from seat-based subscriptions across Personal, Starter, Advanced, Enterprise, and Enterprise+ tiers plus AI add-on products. The company reported a net loss of $189.0 million for fiscal year ended January 31, 2026.

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