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APOApollo Global Management, Inc. Sell4.2·$132.70+4.02%
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Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $132.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4B total AUM across three segments: Asset Management (credit $749B, equity $189B), Retirement Services (Athene annuities), and Principal Investing. Fee-related... Read more

$132.70+1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#109 of 111 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.76%(5y avg 2.13%)Payout128.30%at-risk
Stop $124.86Target $135.22(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$150.25+13.2%16 analysts
$135.22our TP
$132.70price
$150.25mean
$125
$173

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $132.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Apollo Global Management, Inc.

About Apollo Global Management, Inc.

Apollo Global Management had $938.4 billion in total assets under management at December 31, 2025, spanning three segments — Asset Management, Retirement Services, and Principal Investing. The credit strategy dominated with $749.2 billion of AUM, including $302.1 billion in direct origination and $282.7 billion in asset-backed finance. The equity strategy held $189.2 billion, and origination volumes across the platform reached $309 billion in 2025, with core credit and origination platforms accounting for approximately 45% and 40% of that total, respectively.

Apollo generates fee-related earnings from the Asset Management segment through management fees and performance fees on invested capital. The Retirement Services segment, conducted through Athene, generates spread income by combining long-duration liability sourcing — through fixed rate, fixed indexed, registered index-linked, and payout annuities — with Apollo's origination and asset management capabilities. Apollo managed or advised $392.2 billion of fee-generating AUM in accounts owned by or related to Athene as of December 31, 2025. Athora, a European life insurance reinsurance platform, represented $57.2 billion of AUM. Perpetual capital structures — which include certain credit strategy assets, origination platform assets, and retirement services client assets — comprised $535.6 billion, approximately 57% of total AUM. Apollo acquired Bridge Investment Group Holdings in 2025, a real estate fund manager focused on residential and industrial properties in the United States.

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A material portion of Apollo's fee-generating AUM is tied to Athene: $386.5 billion of fee-generating AUM was in Athene accounts at December 31, 2025. The 10-K notes that Athene's liabilities are sensitive to changing market factors and that in times of economic hardship policyholders may defer or stop paying insurance premiums or surrender policies — conditions that could weigh on Athene's liability origination and, in turn, on the management fee base Apollo derives from Athene's investment portfolio.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Apollo Global Management, Inc. 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene
Target reached (1.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.2
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$73.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth-9.2%
Beta1.49
Dividend1.76%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV47%normal
Max Pain$95-28.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAthene
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, Apollo managed or advised $392.2 billion of AUM, of which $386.5 billion was Fee-Generating AUM, in accounts owned by or related to Athene'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.2
Declining revenue: -9%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
4.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.5
Net Margin
1.8
Roe
2.8
Gross Margin
3.0
Moat
3.9
Operating Margin
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.1
No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $122.44Resistance $136.01

Price Targets

$125
$135
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $132.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $124.86. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.22 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $124.86. Stop-loss: $124.86.

What are the risks of investing in APO?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene; Target reached (1.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is APO overvalued or undervalued?

Apollo Global Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 80.2 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APO?

23 analysts cover APO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Apollo Global Management, Inc. do?Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with...

Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4B total AUM across three segments: Asset Management (credit $749B, equity $189B), Retirement Services (Athene annuities), and Principal Investing. Fee-related earnings from asset management fees and Athene's spread income from annuity liabilities matched against Apollo-originated assets drive revenue.

Related stocks: AMG (Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.) · SEIC (SEI Investments Company) · RJF (Raymond James Financial, Inc.) · BLK (BlackRock, Inc.) · NTRS (Northern Trust Corporation)
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