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Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking to corporations, institutions, families, and individuals globally. At December 31, 2025, consolidated assets were $177.1B and AUM was $1.8T... Read more

$166.01+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#33 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $157.03Target $169.73(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$168.58+1.5%13 analysts
$169.73our TP
$166.01price
$168.58mean
$130
$192

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$30.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$95-42.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $142.00Resistance $173.19

Price Targets

$157
$170
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTRS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $169.73 (+2.2%), stop $157.03 (−5.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.73 (+2.3% upside). Target $169.73 (+2.2%), stop $157.03 (−5.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $157.03.

What are the risks of investing in NTRS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Is NTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Northern Trust Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTRS?

22 analysts cover NTRS with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $169.

What does Northern Trust Corporation do?Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset...

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking to corporations, institutions, families, and individuals globally. At December 31, 2025, consolidated assets were $177.1B and AUM was $1.8T across Asset Servicing and Wealth Management segments. Revenue is primarily fee-based from assets under management and custody.

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