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APi Group Corporation (APG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

APi Group is a global provider of fire and life safety, security, elevator/escalator, and specialty contracting services with 500+ locations worldwide across Safety Services and Specialty Services segments. Revenue comes primarily from recurring inspection, service, and... Read more

$45.79+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#19 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $43.04Target $48.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$52.00+13.6%10 analysts
$48.99our TP
$45.79price
$52.00mean
$54

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA22.0
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth15.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.11bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.6
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.10Resistance $49.99

Price Targets

$43
$49
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $43.04. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.99 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $43.04. Stop-loss: $43.04.

What are the risks of investing in APG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is APG overvalued or undervalued?

APi Group Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APG?

16 analysts cover APG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $52.

What does APi Group Corporation do?APi Group is a global provider of fire and life safety, security, elevator/escalator, and specialty contracting...

APi Group is a global provider of fire and life safety, security, elevator/escalator, and specialty contracting services with 500+ locations worldwide across Safety Services and Specialty Services segments. Revenue comes primarily from recurring inspection, service, and monitoring contracts across healthcare, high-tech, manufacturing, and infrastructure end markets.

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