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ALVOAlvotechSell4.9·$4.25+1.80%
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Alvotech (ALVO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $4.25: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Alvotech, through its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures biosimilar medicines for patients worldwide. It offers biosimilar products in the therapeutic areas of autoimmune, eye, and bone disorders, as well as cancer. The company provides AVT02, a high concentration,... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-7.11%
Stop $3.95Target $4.50(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$13.83+225.5%6 analysts
$4.50our TP
$4.25price
$13.83mean
$50

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $4.25: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA25.9
Profit Mgn-14.4%
ROE
Rev Growth-20.2%
Beta0.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
2.1
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
5.7
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.94Resistance $4.59

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $13.83 vs price $4.25 — ratio 3.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALVO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $4.25: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $3.95. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALVO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.50 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $3.95. Stop-loss: $3.95.

What are the risks of investing in ALVO?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ALVO overvalued or undervalued?

Alvotech trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALVO?

12 analysts cover ALVO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Alvotech do?Alvotech, through its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures biosimilar medicines for patients worldwide. It offers...

Alvotech, through its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures biosimilar medicines for patients worldwide. It offers biosimilar products in the therapeutic areas of autoimmune, eye, and bone disorders, as well as cancer. The company provides AVT02, a high concentration, low-volume adalimumab formulation biosimilar to Humira to treat various inflammatory conditions, including rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, Crohn's disease, ankylosing spondylitis ulcerative colitis, and other indications; AVT04, a biosimilar to Stelara to treat various inflammatory conditions comprising psoriatic arthritis, Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, plaque psoriasis, and other indications; AVT06, a biosimilar to Eylea to treat various conditions, such as neovascular age-related macular degeneration, macular edema following retinal vein occlusion, diabetic macular edema and diabetic retinopathy; and AVT03, a biosimilar to Xgeva and Prolia to treat prevent bone fracture, spinal cord compression, and the need for radiation or bone surgery in patients with certain types of cancer, as well as prevent bone loss and increase bone mass. In addition, it offers AVT05, a biosimilar to Simponi and Simponi Aria to treat various inflammatory conditions, including rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis, and other indications; AVT16, a biosimilar to an Entyvio product for the treatment of adult patients with moderate to severe ulcerative colitis and moderate to severely active Crohn's disease; AVT23, a biosimilar to Xolair to treat allergic asthma, chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU), and nasal polyp; and AVT33, a biosimilar to Keytruda product which is in early phase development. Alvotech was founded in 2013 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Related stocks: ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · COLL (Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.) · KNSA (Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna) · BHC (Bausch Health Companies Inc.)
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