Waste Management is a high-quality business with a 30% return on equity and top-tier peer ranking on quality, but the stock has only 6.2% upside to analyst targets, two recent earnings misses, and sits below its 200-day moving average, leaving insufficient margin of safety at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Return On Equity→Stable
- Thin Upside To Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
- Recent Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $226.33 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $226.33 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — Waste Management, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Waste Management (WM) Could Be 8% Undervalued Ahead Of Earnings - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS OMERS ADMINISTRATION Corp Raises Stock Position in Waste Management, Inc. $WM - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - StockStory — StockStory negative
- NEWS Waste Management (NYSE:WM) Misses Q1 CY2026 Sales Expectations - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS WASTE MANAGEMENT ($WM) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T07:18:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-13Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. _Retirement of Mr. Carrasco_ On May 8, 2026, Mr. Rafael E.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $226.33 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $216.66. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $232.13 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $216.66. Stop-loss: $216.66.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Waste Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.2 (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover WM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $258.
What does Waste Management, Inc. do?Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the...
Waste Management, Inc. is a holding company and all operations are conducted by its subsidiaries. When the terms "the Company," "we," "us" or "our" are used in this document, those terms refer to Waste Management, Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries and consolidated variable interest entities. When we use the term "WMI," we are referring only to Waste Management, Inc., the parent holding company.