Valhi trades at a deeply discounted 4.4x forward P/E within a technical breakout setup, but a quality score below the engine's floor, a narrowly failed momentum gate, and an asymmetry reading flagging exhausted upside argue the cheapness may reflect real fundamental weakness rather than mispricing.
Thesis pillars
- Institutional Constraint Small Cap Edge→Stable
- Deep Value Extreme Cheapness→Stable
- Quality Floor Breach→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Valhi, Inc. (VHI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Basic Materials · Chemicals
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Valhi is a Dallas-based holding company controlled by Contran Corporation, operating through three segments: Chemicals (majority-owned Kronos Worldwide, a leading global titanium dioxide pigment producer), Component Products (majority-owned CompX, a maker of security products... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductTiO2 (Chemicals Segment)90%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 90% of our Chemicals Segment's sales were attributable to sales of TiO2.'
- MEDIUMGeographicEurope (Chemicals Segment)45%10-K Item 1A: 'during 2024 and 2025 approximately 44% and 45% of our Chemicals Segment's sales volumes, respectively, were sold into European markets.'
- HIGHCustomertop ten customers (Component Products Segment)52%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, our Component Products Segment's largest ten customers accounted for approximately 52% of its consolidated net sales, with a single customer accounting for 26% of its consolidated net sales.'
- MEDIUMCustomersingle customer (Component Products Segment)26%10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, our Component Products Segment's largest ten customers accounted for approximately 52% of its consolidated net sales, with a single customer accounting for 26% of its consolidated net sales.'
- MEDIUMSuppliertitanium-containing feedstock suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'Titanium-containing feedstocks suitable for use in our Chemicals Segment's TiO2 facilities are available from a limited number of suppliers around the world.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-22Item 5.02LOWDirector Mary A. Tidlund notified the company on June 17, 2026 of her resignation from the board effective June 30, 2026, not the result of any disagreement with the company.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-21Item 5.02MEDIUMFollowing the death of director W. Hayden McIlroy, the board appointed Randy L. Hill, a partner at Opportune LLP and former longtime KPMG audit partner, to fill the board vacancy and serve on the audit committee.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-21Item 5.07LOWAt the May 21, 2026 annual meeting, stockholders voted on two proposals described in the company's definitive proxy statement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.74. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.80 (+8.0% upside). Prior stop was $12.74. Stop-loss: $12.74.
Concentration risk — Product: TiO2 (Chemicals Segment) (90.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (Component Products Segment) (52.0%); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Valhi, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover VHI with a consensus score of 2.1/5.
What does Valhi, Inc. do?Valhi is a Dallas-based holding company controlled by Contran Corporation, operating through three segments: Chemicals...
Valhi is a Dallas-based holding company controlled by Contran Corporation, operating through three segments: Chemicals (majority-owned Kronos Worldwide, a leading global titanium dioxide pigment producer), Component Products (majority-owned CompX, a maker of security products and marine hardware), and Real Estate Management and Development in Henderson, Nevada. TiO2 sales made up approximately 90% of Chemicals Segment revenue in 2025, with 45% of that segment's volume sold into Europe.