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SYNASynaptics IncorporatedSell5.1·$95.06-5.91%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Synaptics has maintained a perfect four-quarter earnings beat record and trades at a low price-to-sales multiple relative to semiconductor peers, but high short interest of 20% and a quality score just below the minimum threshold reflect real concerns about operating profitability and return metrics.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor ConcernStable
  • High Short Interest SignalDeteriorating
  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat RecordStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $95.06: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Synaptics designs fabless semiconductor solutions for edge AI, wireless connectivity, and human interface technologies — touch, display, biometrics, and audio/voice processing — sold to mobile, PC, IoT, industrial, and automotive OEMs worldwide through its Astra AI processor and... Read more

$95.06+19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#48 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield3.79%
Stop $88.41Target $113.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$130.33+37.1%9 analysts
$113.39our TP
$95.06price
$130.33mean
$170

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $95.06: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Synaptics Incorporated

About Synaptics Incorporated

Synaptics operates a fabless semiconductor model, designing chips in-house and outsourcing wafer fabrication and assembly to third-party foundries and contract manufacturers that are predominately Asia-based. The company derives a significant portion of its revenue from a concentrated base of large OEM and ODM customers across its three target markets — Core IoT, Enterprise and Automotive, and Mobile — built around its Astra AI processor and Veros wireless product families, employing approximately 1,700 people, 69% of them in Asia Pacific.

Synaptics sells semiconductor solutions to OEMs through their contract manufacturers, supply chain partners, or distributors, treating both the OEMs and those intermediaries as customers; design wins typically follow lengthy, competitive bid selection processes, and once a customer designs a competitor's product into a platform, switching back becomes costly and time-consuming for years, particularly in automotive. The company's fabless strategy defers most manufacturing costs until products ship, but leaves Synaptics dependent on third-party wafer foundries and packaging/test processors, mostly in Asia, without long-term capacity guarantees beyond six-month rolling forecasts. In January 2025, Synaptics acquired Wi-Fi technology assets and licenses from Broadcom to accelerate its Edge AI and IoT wireless roadmap, adding Wi-Fi 7 and Wi-Fi 8 combo, UWB, and GPS/GNSS products. As of June 2025, the company held 2,516 active patents and 566 pending applications covering touch sensing, biometrics, display drivers, and edge computing.

Show full overview

Synaptics' 10-K dates a specific escalation in trade-policy risk: on August 6, 2025, the U.S. government proposed a 100% tariff on imported semiconductors and chips, with possible exemptions for companies investing in U.S. manufacturing, layered on top of reciprocal tariffs the U.S. and trading partners announced earlier in 2025. Because the company relies on global foundry partners, many based in Asia, for a significant portion of its silicon, and many of its OEM and ODM customers sell into China, a fully implemented semiconductor tariff would raise Synaptics' component costs at the same time it pressures the competitiveness of its customers' China-bound end products — a double-sided exposure the filing treats as still evolving rather than resolved.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Synaptics Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14

Recent Developments — Synaptics Incorporated

Generated 2026-09-14T21:52:02Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA47.3
Profit Mgn-41.0%
ROE-42.2%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
7.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -41.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
4.4
Moat
4.4
Gross Margin
4.9
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
6.0
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 12%, FCF yield 3.8%)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.11Resistance $113.36

Price Targets

$88
$113
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SYNA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $95.06: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $88.41. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SYNA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.39 (+19.3% upside). Prior stop was $88.41. Stop-loss: $88.41.

What are the risks of investing in SYNA?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is SYNA overvalued or undervalued?

Synaptics Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SYNA?

19 analysts cover SYNA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $130.

What does Synaptics Incorporated do?Synaptics designs fabless semiconductor solutions for edge AI, wireless connectivity, and human interface technologies...

Synaptics designs fabless semiconductor solutions for edge AI, wireless connectivity, and human interface technologies — touch, display, biometrics, and audio/voice processing — sold to mobile, PC, IoT, industrial, and automotive OEMs worldwide through its Astra AI processor and Veros wireless product families. The company outsources manufacturing to third-party wafer foundries and contract manufacturers, mostly based in Asia, and derives a significant portion of revenue from a concentrated base of large OEM and ODM customers.

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