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SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.Sell5.3·$85.14+2.21%
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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. At $85.14, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC).

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices).... Read more

$85.14-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.51%
IncomeYield2.26%(5y avg 2.39%)Payout36.72%sustainable
Stop $80.22Target $83.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$87.43+2.7%7 analysts
$83.80our TP
$85.14price
$87.43mean
$80
$100

Sell if holding. At $85.14, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.26%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$40-53.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerHome Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment)64%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart, representing approximately 64% segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (HPC segment)42%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 42% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAmazon and Walmart (GPC segment)34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Amazon and Walmart, representing approximately 34% of segment sales for the year ended September 30, 2025.'
  • HIGHSupplierAPAC third-party manufacturers (HPC)
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all segment products are manufactured by third-party suppliers located in the APAC region'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
0.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.20Resistance $85.51

Price Targets

$80
$84
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $85.14, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $80.22. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.80 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $80.22. Stop-loss: $80.22.

What are the risks of investing in SPB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart (H&G segment) (64.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: APAC third-party manufacturers (HPC); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SPB overvalued or undervalued?

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPB?

13 analysts cover SPB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. do?Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care...

Spectrum Brands Holdings is a diversified global consumer products company with three segments: Global Pet Care (companion animals, aquatics, dog/cat food), Home & Garden (pest control, repellents, cleaning), and Home & Personal Care (small appliances, personal care devices). Products are sold through mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, and e-commerce; a spin-off of the HPC segment is under exploration.

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