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SKYTSkyWater Technology, Inc.Sell5.9·$38.23+4.43%
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SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.23: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Legacy SkyWater and SkyWater Texas. The company offers foundry services; advanced technology services (ATS);... Read more

$38.23+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score1 / 9FCF yield1.99%
Stop $35.63Target $39.13(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$35.00-8.4%4 analysts
Range unavailable (4 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.23: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — SkyWater Technology, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-22.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)-180.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA50.4
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE95.8%
Rev Growth162.1%
Beta3.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F1/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$28-26.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
1.1
Current Ratio
2.1
Fcf Quality
2.5
Moat
6.0
Roe
10.0
Net Margin
10.0
Excellent ROE: 96%Strong margins: 21%Earnings quality RED FLAG: 31% FCF/NIWeak Piotroski F-Score: 1/9
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.98Resistance $39.93

Price Targets

$36
$39
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.23: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.63. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.13 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $35.63. Stop-loss: $35.63.

What are the risks of investing in SKYT?

Target reached (-22.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is SKYT overvalued or undervalued?

SkyWater Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward -180.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKYT?

10 analysts cover SKYT with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $35.

What does SkyWater Technology, Inc. do?SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United...

SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Legacy SkyWater and SkyWater Texas. The company offers foundry services; advanced technology services (ATS); wafer manufacturing services for analog, mixed-signal, MEMS, and specialty CMOS devices; and advanced semiconductor packaging. The company serves quantum computing, aerospace and defense, automotive, bio-health, and industrial sectors. SkyWater Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.

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