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SKYChampion Homes, Inc.Sell4.9·$78.41-0.31%
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Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.41 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5.

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual... Read more

$78.41+0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 16 Residential Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.28%
Stop $72.92Target $78.88(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$90.67+15.6%6 analysts
$78.88our TP
$78.41price
$90.67mean
$75
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.41 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Champion Homes, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 3, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: 99.1 | [Press Release issued by Champion Homes, Inc. on June 2, 2026](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/90896/000119312526253964/sky-ex99_1.htm) 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities ...
  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On May 31, 2026, Tawn Kelley resigned as Chair and a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Champion Homes, Inc. (the "Company"), effective immediately. Ms.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$140+78.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    99.1 | [Press Release issued by Champion Homes, Inc. on June 2, 2026](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/90896/000119312526253964/sky-ex99_1.htm) 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) * * * SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities ...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On May 31, 2026, Tawn Kelley resigned as Chair and a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Champion Homes, Inc. (the "Company"), effective immediately. Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.8
Support Resistance
2.0
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
4.7
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.87Resistance $82.06

Price Targets

$73
$79
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.41 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $72.92. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the SKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.88 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $72.92. Stop-loss: $72.92.

What are the risks of investing in SKY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is SKY overvalued or undervalued?

Champion Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKY?

10 analysts cover SKY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Champion Homes, Inc. do?Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated...

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual Report.

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · MHO (M/I Homes, Inc.) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.) · TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
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