Value
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.4 |
| P/S | 9.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.8 |
| PEG | 4.6 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.6x
- ▸PEG: 1.90
SKY · Why this verdict
Why Champion Homes (SKY) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.6 |
| ROA | 5.1 |
| Gross margin | 1.3 |
| Op margin | 2.6 |
| Net margin | 3.9 |
| Current ratio | 8.4 |
| FCF quality | 6.5 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
3.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.7 |
| EPS growth | 4.0 |
Momentum
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.4 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.2 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 79)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 6.6 |
| Price target | 7.5 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.1/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.9 |
| quality rank | 4.7 |
| growth rank | 8.8 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.6 |
| support resistance | 0.2 |
| 52w position | 5.4 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.7 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 2.3 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 2.4 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.8 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 4.33
- ▸High IV: 65%
- ▸Above max pain $40
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.21
Upside
+3.1%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 1.5 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 6.8) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.21 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 6.8, Catalyst at 6.3, and Value at 6.0; the weakest are Technical at 3.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.4, and Peer rank at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.21 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.