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BXBLBOXABL, Inc.Sell5.2·$2.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Boxabl is growing revenue 77% year over year but burns cash at -86% of revenue and is in a confirmed downtrend, 79% off its high.

Thesis pillars

  • Severe Cash Burn→Stable
  • Rapid Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Confirmed Downtrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 11, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BOXABL, Inc. (BXBL) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.59: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Boxabl Inc. develops and sells modular homes in the United States. It offers Building Box, which consists of room modules that ship to site at a low cost and can be stacked and connected to build various shape and style of finished buildings. The company's product includes... Read more

$2.59+27.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 19 Residential Construction
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.43%
Stop $2.48Resistance target $3.30A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.59: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$626M
EV/EBITDA-41.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-66.5%
Rev Growth77.4%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C10.00bearish
IV183%elevated
Max Pain$3-3.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.8
Current Ratio
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -86% of revenueQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.5
Macd
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
23 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.56Resistance $3.37

Price Targets

$2
$3
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for BXBL.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BXBL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.59: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.48. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BXBL stock price target?

Resistance target: $3.30 (+27.4% upside). Prior stop was $2.48. Stop-loss: $2.48.

What are the risks of investing in BXBL?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is BXBL overvalued or undervalued?

BOXABL, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does BOXABL, Inc. do?Boxabl Inc. develops and sells modular homes in the United States. It offers Building Box, which consists of room...

Boxabl Inc. develops and sells modular homes in the United States. It offers Building Box, which consists of room modules that ship to site at a low cost and can be stacked and connected to build various shape and style of finished buildings. The company's product includes casita Box comprising kitchen, bedroom, bathroom, and living area. The company was formerly known as FG Merger II Corp and changed its name to Boxabl Inc. in June 2026. The company is based in North Las Vegas, Nevada.

Related stocks: LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation) · CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · LGIH (LGI Homes, Inc.) · SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In)
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