Silicon Motion Technology delivered 106% year-over-year revenue growth and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average positive surprise of 31%, but the stock trades above the analyst consensus target with negative asymmetry and a free cash flow red flag that warrants caution before adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Rate→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Delivery→Stable
- Free Cash Flow Quality Concern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Silicon Motion Technology Corpo (SIMO) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Technology · Semiconductors
Wait for pullback to $270.26. At $284.00 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $270.26 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers... Read more
Wait for pullback to $270.26. At $284.00 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $270.26 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-14Recent Developments — Silicon Motion Technology Corpo
Latest news
- NEWS SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY ($SIMO) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY ($SIMO) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - quiverquant.com — quiverquant.com positive
- NEWS Silicon Motion Technology (NASDAQ:SIMO) Posts Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS (SIMO) Silicon Motion Technology Corporation Expects Q3 Revenue Range $519.0M - $541.0M - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Maverick Capital Ltd. Invests $827,000 in Silicon Motion Technology Corporation $SIMO - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-09-14T06:07:01Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $270.26. At $284.00 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $270.26 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $321.64 (+13.3%), stop $251.34 (−13.0%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $321.64 (+13.1% upside). Target $321.64 (+13.3%), stop $251.34 (−13.0%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $251.34.
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Silicon Motion Technology Corpo trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
18 analysts cover SIMO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $370.
What does Silicon Motion Technology Corpo do?Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash...
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash controllers for solid-state storage devices and related devices in China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers controllers for computing-grade solid state drives (SSDs), which are used in PCs and other client devices; enterprise-grade SSDs used in enterprise and hyperscale data centers; eMMC and UFS mobile embedded storage for use in smartphones and IoT devices; flash memory cards and flash drives for use in expandable storage; and specialized SSDs that are used in industrial, commercial, and automotive applications. The company markets its controllers under the SMI brand; and single-chip SSDs under the FerriSSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS brands. It markets and sells its products through direct sales personnel and independent electronics distributors to NAND flash makers, module makers, hyperscalers, and OEMs. Silicon Motion Technology Corporation was founded in 1995 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.