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SATLSatellogic Inc.Hold6.1·$4.77-1.04%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Satellogic's strong revenue growth and oversold-in-uptrend momentum are offset by extreme insider selling and severe cash burn, consistent with a mixed-signals hold call.

Thesis pillars

  • Severe Cash BurnStable
  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • Extreme Insider SellingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Satellogic Inc. (SATL) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow.

Satellogic Inc. operates as a vertically integrated earth observation company in Europe, the Asia Pacific, Asia, North America, and South America. The company designs, manufactures, and operates satellite systems, delivering decision-grade insights; geospatial data through its... Read more

$4.77+107.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#9 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-2.17%
Stop $4.40Target $9.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 7.2:1
Analyst target$11.28+136.5%5 analysts
$9.81our TP
$4.77price
$11.28mean
$15

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Satellogic Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: CFO Rick Dunn agreed to step down at the end of a transition period; the company commenced a search for a successor and Dunn will continue serving during the transition for an orderly handoff. No successor yet named.

Generated 2026-07-08T22:53:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 107%
Risks
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-57.6
Mkt Cap$768M
EV/EBITDA-37.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth80.3%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV133%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomercustomers each accounting for more than 10% of revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we had three customers that each accounted for more than 10% of our total revenue and in 2024, we had two customers that accounted for 10% of our total revenue.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierSpaceX launch services
    10-K Item 1A: 'Currently there are only a few companies that offer launch services, including SpaceX, with whom we have entered into the SpaceX Agreement.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Rick Dunn agreed to step down at the end of a transition period; the company commenced a search for a successor and Dunn will continue serving during the transition for an orderly handoff. No successor yet named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-04Item 5.02LOW
    Board increased from seven to eight directors and appointed Michael E. Williamson as a new independent Class III director effective June 1, 2026; his committee assignments have not yet been determined.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Uptrend pullback (RSI 31) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5INSIDER 12.72%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 7.2 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.40Resistance $7.85

Price Targets

$4
$10
A.Upside+105.7%
A.R:R7.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 12.72%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SATL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $9.81 (+105.7%), stop $4.40 (−8.4%), A.R:R 7.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SATL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.81 (+107.4% upside). Target $9.81 (+105.7%), stop $4.40 (−8.4%), A.R:R 7.2:1. Stop-loss: $4.40.

What are the risks of investing in SATL?

Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -104.2%), Negative free cash flow.

Is SATL overvalued or undervalued?

Satellogic Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -57.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SATL?

11 analysts cover SATL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Satellogic Inc. do?Satellogic Inc. operates as a vertically integrated earth observation company in Europe, the Asia Pacific, Asia, North...

Satellogic Inc. operates as a vertically integrated earth observation company in Europe, the Asia Pacific, Asia, North America, and South America. The company designs, manufactures, and operates satellite systems, delivering decision-grade insights; geospatial data through its platform to identify climate change, energy supply, and food security; provides constellation-as-a-service services and space system solutions; and satellite sales and support services. It also deploys satellites with monitoring assets. The company has strategic collaboration with SynMax to develop and deliver AI-powered geospatial intelligence products for defense and intelligence customers. The company serves government, commercial customers, sovereign customers, and local partners. Satellogic Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina.

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