Skip to main content
NSCNorfolk Southern CorporationSell4.5·$310.44-1.11%
Open full analysis

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $310.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Merger Agreement - On July 28, 2025, we entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Union Pacific Corporation, a Utah corporation ("Union Pacific"), Ruby Merger Sub 1 Corporation, a Virginia corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of Union... Read more

$310.44+2.9% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#7 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.84%
IncomeYield1.72%(5y avg 2.04%)Payout45.49%sustainable
Stop $295.97Target $319.48(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$335.71+8.1%17 analysts
$319.48our TP
$310.44price
$335.71mean
$297
$378

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $310.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Norfolk Southern Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Chief Operating Officer On May 31, 2026, John Orr, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer of Norfolk Southern Corporation (the "Company"), notified the Company of his intention to resign from the Company for "good reason" on account of proposed changes in the Company's o

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)23.2
Mkt Cap$70.5B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn21.9%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.72%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$110-64.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Chief Operating Officer On May 31, 2026, John Orr, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer of Norfolk Southern Corporation (the "Company"), notified the Company of his intention to resign from the Company for "good reason" on account of proposed changes in the Company's op...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $301.17Resistance $326.00

Price Targets

$296
$319
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $310.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $295.97. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $319.48 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $295.97. Stop-loss: $295.97.

What are the risks of investing in NSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is NSC overvalued or undervalued?

Norfolk Southern Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 23.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NSC?

27 analysts cover NSC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $336.

What does Norfolk Southern Corporation do?Merger Agreement - On July 28, 2025, we entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with...

Merger Agreement - On July 28, 2025, we entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Union Pacific Corporation, a Utah corporation ("Union Pacific"), Ruby Merger Sub 1 Corporation, a Virginia corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of Union Pacific ("Merger Sub 1"), and Ruby Merger Sub 2 LLC, a Virginia limited liability company and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of Union Pacific ("Merger Sub 2").

Related stocks: UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo) · CSX (CSX Corporation) · CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa)
Home Stocks NSC

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus55d ago
Xã Thanh Hà55d agoMerger Acquisition
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng55d agoEarnings
CNBC62d ago
TIKR.com56d ago
富途牛牛56d agoEarnings
MarketBeat63d ago
Investing.com India53d ago
Meyka54d agoEarnings
MarketWatch60d ago
MSN61d ago
GuruFocus61d ago
The Financial Express58d ago
Meyka57d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance59d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance60d agoEarnings
Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga15d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga18d ago
Benzinga19d agoMerger Acquisition
Loading more...