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WABWestinghouse Air Brake TechnoloSell5.7·$285.56
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Westinghouse Air Brake has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and holds a leading growth position within its industry peer group, though the stock has reached its analyst price target and the reward-to-risk ratio has turned negative at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Breakout Technical Momentum↑Improving
  • Concentration Risk Supplier Dependency↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo (WAB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $285.56 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers.

Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and passenger transit markets, with 31,000 employees and operations in over 50 countries. The Freight Segment generates approximately 72% of net sales (roughly 58%... Read more

$285.56+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.57%
IncomeYield0.44%(5y avg 0.50%)Payout14.66%sustainable
Stop $270.74Analyst target $288.91(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$332.08+16.3%12 analysts
$288.91Analyst target
$285.56price
$332.08mean
$355

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $285.56 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 102d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 2027102d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$48.2B
EV/EBITDA19.6
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.44%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV33%normal
Max Pain$190-33.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational (outside U.S.) revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately half of our consolidated net sales were to customers outside of the United States'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely upon third-party suppliers, including certain single-sourced suppliers, for various components for our products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.1
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 102d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $271.14Resistance $294.72

Price Targets

$271
$289
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (102d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $285.56 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $270.74. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WAB stock price target?

Analyst target: $288.91 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $270.74. Stop-loss: $270.74.

What are the risks of investing in WAB?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is WAB overvalued or undervalued?

Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WAB?

18 analysts cover WAB with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $332.

What does Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo do?Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and...

Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and passenger transit markets, with 31,000 employees and operations in over 50 countries. The Freight Segment generates approximately 72% of net sales (roughly 58% from aftermarket), while the Transit Segment contributes 28% (roughly 56% aftermarket); combined aftermarket revenue represents approximately 60% of total net sales. An installed base of nearly 24,600 locomotives drives recurring replacement-part demand.

Related stocks: CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li) · CSX (CSX Corporation) · UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation)
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