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NSCNorfolk Southern CorporationSell4.6·$311.06+0.36%
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Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $311.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Merger Agreement - On July 28, 2025, we entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Union Pacific Corporation, a Utah corporation ("Union Pacific"), Ruby Merger Sub 1 Corporation, a Virginia corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of Union... Read more

$311.06+2.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#7 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.87%
IncomeYield1.74%(5y avg 2.04%)Payout45.49%sustainable
Stop $295.25Target $319.48(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$335.71+7.9%17 analysts
$319.48our TP
$311.06price
$335.71mean
$297
$378

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $311.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Norfolk Southern Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Chief Operating Officer On May 31, 2026, John Orr, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer of Norfolk Southern Corporation (the "Company"), notified the Company of his intention to resign from the Company for "good reason" on account of proposed changes in the Company's o

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.1
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$69.6B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn21.9%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.74%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$110-64.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $301.17Resistance $326.00

Price Targets

$295
$319
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $311.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $295.25. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the NSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $319.48 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $295.25. Stop-loss: $295.25.

What are the risks of investing in NSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is NSC overvalued or undervalued?

Norfolk Southern Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NSC?

27 analysts cover NSC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $336.

What does Norfolk Southern Corporation do?Merger Agreement - On July 28, 2025, we entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with...

Merger Agreement - On July 28, 2025, we entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Union Pacific Corporation, a Utah corporation ("Union Pacific"), Ruby Merger Sub 1 Corporation, a Virginia corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of Union Pacific ("Merger Sub 1"), and Ruby Merger Sub 2 LLC, a Virginia limited liability company and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of Union Pacific ("Merger Sub 2").

Related stocks: UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li) · CSX (CSX Corporation) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo)
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