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CSXCSX CorporationSell5.4·$47.13-0.91%
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CSX Corporation (CSX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.13 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail... Read more

$47.13-0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.28%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 1.31%)Payout32.52%sustainable
Stop $45.16Target $47.07(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$46.16-2.1%22 analysts
$47.07our TP
$47.13price
$46.16mean
$30
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.13 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.2
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$88.4B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE23.7%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta1.22
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$60+27.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On May 14, 2026, CSX Corporation (the "Company" or "CSX") announced the separation from employment of Stephen Fortune, Executive Vice President and Chief Digital & Technology Officer of the Company, effective immediately.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.79Resistance $48.03

Price Targets

$45
$47
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.13 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $45.16. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.07 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $45.16. Stop-loss: $45.16.

What are the risks of investing in CSX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is CSX overvalued or undervalued?

CSX Corporation trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSX?

28 analysts cover CSX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $46.

What does CSX Corporation do?The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of...

The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail industry provide customers with access to an expansive and interconnected transportation network that plays a key role in North American commerce and is critical to the long-term economic success and improved glob

Related stocks: WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo) · UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation)
Home Stocks CSX

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