Union Pacific delivers 41% ROE, 29% operating margins, and ranks best-in-class on both return and margin metrics within the railroad peer group, with a 3-out-of-4 earnings beat streak, but trades near analyst resistance with negative asymmetry and a PEG of 3.26 suggesting the quality is already fully priced in.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Roe And Margins↑Improving
- Earnings Beat Streak Consistency→Stable
- Price At Resistance Negative Asymmetry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 6, 2026
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Railroads
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $301.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).
Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies, Union Pacific Railroad Company connects 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $301.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Union Pacific Corporation
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 16, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: 99.1 | [Press Release of Union Pacific Corporation, dated October 1](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100885/000010088526000305/a2026-10x168xkexhibit991.htm)[6](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100885/000010088526000305/a2026-10x168xkexhibit991.htm)[, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Arch...
Latest news
- NEWS Union Pacific to post Q2 earnings amid merger push (UNP:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS Union Pacific (UNP) Set to Report Q1 Earnings with Mixed Expecta - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Union Pacific (UNP) Could Be a Great Choice - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) posts narrow Q4 2025 EPS miss, shares trade nearly flat in muted investor reaction. - Co — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng negative
- NEWS Ruffer LLP Buys New Holdings in Union Pacific Corporation $UNP - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T11:22:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-16Item 5.02MEDIUM99.1 | [Press Release of Union Pacific Corporation, dated October 1](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100885/000010088526000305/a2026-10x168xkexhibit991.htm)[6](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100885/000010088526000305/a2026-10x168xkexhibit991.htm)[, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Arch...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $301.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $289.75. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $298.27 reached (−1.2% from $301.93); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $289.75. Stop-loss: $289.75.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Union Pacific Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts cover UNP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $331.
What does Union Pacific Corporation do?Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies,...
Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies, Union Pacific Railroad Company connects 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The Railroad's diversified business mix includes Bulk, Industrial, and Premium. Union Pacific serves many of the fastest-growing U.S.