National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Wait for pullback to $76.53. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $77.03. Engine's entry $76.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: DTE Energy Trading (33.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy company with integrated natural gas production (Marcellus/Utica), interstate pipeline and storage, and regulated utility serving ~756,000 customers in western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania. Revenues are split across... Read more
Wait for pullback to $76.53. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $77.03. Engine's entry $76.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: DTE Energy Trading (33.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — National Fuel Gas Company
Latest news
- NEWS National Fuel Gas Co (NYSE:NFG) Misses Q2 Estimates and Lowers Full-Year Guidance on Weaker Gas Price Outlook - ChartMil — ChartMill negative
- NEWS NATIONAL FUEL GAS ($NFG) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS National Fuel Gas Updates Investor Presentation, Highlights Key Risks - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
- NEWS National Fuel Gas (NFG) Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS National Fuel Gas (NYSE:NFG) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomersingle Integrated Upstream customer11%10-K Item 1: 'Revenue from one customer of the Company’s Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment...represented approximately $258 million, or 11.3%, of the Company’s consolidated revenue'
- HIGHSupplierDTE Energy Trading33%10-K Item 1: 'Purchases from DTE Energy Trading, Inc. (33%), Emera Energy Services, Inc. (11%), Chevron Natural Gas (10%)...accounted for nearly 67% of the Utility segment’s 2025 gas purchases.'
- MEDIUMSupplierEmera Energy Services11%10-K Item 1: 'Purchases from DTE Energy Trading, Inc. (33%), Emera Energy Services, Inc. (11%), Chevron Natural Gas (10%)...accounted for nearly 67% of the Utility segment’s 2025 gas purchases.'
- MEDIUMSupplierChevron Natural Gas10%10-K Item 1: 'Purchases from DTE Energy Trading, Inc. (33%), Emera Energy Services, Inc. (11%), Chevron Natural Gas (10%)...accounted for nearly 67% of the Utility segment’s 2025 gas purchases.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
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Price Targets
Position Sizing
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Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $76.53. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $77.03. Engine's entry $76.53 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: DTE Energy Trading (33.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $86.27 (+12.0%), stop $73.59 (−4.7%), Setup A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $86.27 (+12.9% upside). Target $86.27 (+12.0%), stop $73.59 (−4.7%), Setup A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $73.59.
Concentration risk — Supplier: DTE Energy Trading (33.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
National Fuel Gas Company trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
8 analysts cover NFG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $102.
What does National Fuel Gas Company do?National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy company with integrated natural gas production (Marcellus/Utica),...
National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified energy company with integrated natural gas production (Marcellus/Utica), interstate pipeline and storage, and regulated utility serving ~756,000 customers in western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania. Revenues are split across three segments: Integrated Upstream and Gathering ($324.7M net income), Pipeline and Storage ($121M), and Utility ($83.2M) in fiscal 2025. The Pipeline and Storage segment generated approximately 35% of revenues from affiliated segments.