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National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through Integrated Upstream and Gathering, Pipeline and Storage, and Utility segments. The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment explores for, develops, and produces natural gas and oil. It also... Read more

$94.40+0.8% upside
Score 6.1/10Target $95.12Reward/Risk 0.1:1

TrendMatrix rates National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $94.40 with +0.8% upside to the $95.12 price target. Overall score: 6.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.1:1.

Passes 2/4 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.5Qual5.8Grw7.2Mom3.6Sent5.5Ins4.7Peer6.5Tech5.1Risk7.36.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
+ Attractive valuation
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
- Negative momentum

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn27.5%
ROE20.7%
Rev Growth18.6%
Beta0.56
Dividend2.30%
Analysts9
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NFG stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 6.1/10.

What is the NFG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.12 (+0.8% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $85.49.

What are the risks of investing in NFG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Negative momentum.

Is NFG overvalued or undervalued?

National Fuel Gas Company trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NFG?

9 analysts cover NFG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $99.

What does National Fuel Gas Company do?National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through Integrated Upstream and...

National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through Integrated Upstream and Gathering, Pipeline and Storage, and Utility segments. The Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment explores for, develops, and produces natural gas and oil. It also builds, owns, and operates gathering facilities in the Appalachian region, as well as provides gathering services to Seneca. The Pipeline and Storage segment provides interstate natural gas transportation services through an integrated gas pipeline system in Pennsylvania and New York; and storage services through its underground natural gas storage fields. This segment also transports and stores natural gas for National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation, as well as for utilities, industrial companies, and power producers in New York State. The Utility segment sells natural gas to retail customers; and provides natural gas utility services to various customers in Buffalo, Niagara Falls, and Jamestown, New York, as well as in Erie and Sharon, Pennsylvania. National Fuel Gas Company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Williamsville, New York.

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55 NEUTRAL
20d50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $88.13Res $97.06

Price Targets

$85
$95
Upside+0.8%
Reward/Risk0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! MOMENTUM:3.6<5.0
! ASYMMETRY:-1.6=NEGATIVE
Suitability: Moderate
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 3.6<5.0
Risk/Reward -1.6=NEGATIVE