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Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment... Read more

$14.90+1.1% upside
Score 4.4/10Target $15.06Reward/Risk 0.0:1

TrendMatrix rates Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $14.90 with +1.1% upside to the $15.06 price target. Overall score: 4.4/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.0:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.3Qual3.9Grw1.2Mom6.4Sent3.3Ins5.0Peer4.4Tech4.6Risk6.14.4OVERALL

Investment Thesis

- V8: Target reached (-39.7% upside)
- Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$31.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth-17.2%
Beta0.29
Dividend16.71%
Analysts12
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EC stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 4.4/10.

What is the EC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.06 (+1.1% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $11.21.

What are the risks of investing in EC?

V8: Target reached (-39.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is EC overvalued or undervalued?

Ecopetrol S.A. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EC?

12 analysts cover EC with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Ecopetrol S.A. do?Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production;...

Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies electric power transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, rest of South America and others, Asia, the United States, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.

Related stocks: TGS (Transportadora de Gas del Sur S) · PBR-A (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob) · NFG (National Fuel Gas Company) · PBR (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob) · SU (Suncor Energy Inc.)
80 OVERBOUGHT
20d50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $11.56Res $15.37

Price Targets

$11
$15
Upside+1.1%
Reward/Risk0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeNEUTRAL

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-39.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! ASYMMETRY:-1.8=NEGATIVE
Suitability: Moderate
Momentum 6.4>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Risk/Reward -1.8=NEGATIVE