Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. At $36.81, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.17× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..
Murphy Oil Corporation is a global E&P company producing oil, natural gas, and NGLs primarily in the U.S. Gulf of America and Eagle Ford Shale, as well as onshore Canada (Tupper Montney, Kaybob Duvernay) and offshore Canada and Brunei. The company produced 188,682 BOE/day in... Read more
Sell if holding. At $36.81, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.17× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=11.1x,ratio=0.17x. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Murphy Oil Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Stock Up 4.5% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 63/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS SM Energy, ProFrac, and Murphy Oil Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS SM Energy, ProFrac, and Murphy Oil Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS SM Energy, ProFrac, and Murphy Oil Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Earnings estimates rising for Murphy Oil (MUR): Will it gain? - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $36.81, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.17× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.25. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.96 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $34.25. Stop-loss: $34.25.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.17× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 8.5%.
Murphy Oil Corporation trades at a P/E of 65.8 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover MUR with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $44.
What does Murphy Oil Corporation do?Murphy Oil Corporation is a global E&P company producing oil, natural gas, and NGLs primarily in the U.S. Gulf of...
Murphy Oil Corporation is a global E&P company producing oil, natural gas, and NGLs primarily in the U.S. Gulf of America and Eagle Ford Shale, as well as onshore Canada (Tupper Montney, Kaybob Duvernay) and offshore Canada and Brunei. The company produced 188,682 BOE/day in 2025 with total proved reserves of 730 MMBOE; revenue comes from commodity sales marketed through operating partners.