Mueller Industries is a high-quality industrial franchise — 28% ROE, 19% margins, best-in-class peer ranking — that has essentially reached the analyst-derived price target, leaving roughly 0.5% upside against 6% downside; the setup no longer supports adding capital despite the underlying business quality.
Thesis pillars
- High Quality Franchise Near Target→Stable
- Negative Asymmetry At Target→Stable
- Execution Recovery After Miss Streak↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-14Recent Developments — Mueller Industries, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Is Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) Overvalued After 5.7% Rally? GF - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS MLI Reports Strong Revenue Growth and Positive Outlook - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Mueller Industries Shares Rise After Higher Fiscal Q2 Results, Northcoast Research Upgrade - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Is Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) Undervalued After Q2 Earnings? E - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Mueller Industries second quarter sales rise to $1.43B - grafa.com — grafa.com positive
Generated 2026-09-14T22:12:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-10Item 5.02MEDIUMItem 8.01 | Other Events. On August 6, 2026 the Registrant issued a press release announcing that its Board has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of 17.5 cents per share on its common stock. The dividend will be paid September 18, 2026 to shareholders of record on September 4, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $56.09. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $68.00 (+13.3% upside). Prior stop was $56.09. Stop-loss: $56.09.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.
Mueller Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
6 analysts cover MLI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $80.
What does Mueller Industries, Inc. do?Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of...
Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact extrusions; refrigeration valves and fittings; compressed gas valves; pressure vessels; insulated flexible duct systems; and high-quality wire and cable solutions.