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PRLBProto Labs, Inc.Sell5.8·$68.89
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Proto Labs has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 26%, delivers 179% free cash flow conversion, and holds a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, but the stock has already reached analyst targets and falling volume (declining on-balance volume) signals waning buying interest.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Reached Negative Asymmetry↑Improving
  • Strong Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Exceptional Fcf Conversion Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Proto Labs, Inc. (PRLB) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $68.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Protolabs, Inc. is a digital manufacturing company producing custom prototype and low-volume production parts, via injection molding, CNC machining, 3D printing, and sheet metal fabrication, for over 300,000 customers including 95% of the Fortune 100. Customers order through an... Read more

$68.89+24.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 10 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.39%
Stop $64.67Analyst target $86.06(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst consensus$101.25+47.0%4 analysts
$86.06Analyst target
$68.89price
$101.25mean
$110

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $68.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Proto Labs, Inc.

About Proto Labs, Inc.

Protolabs manufactures custom prototype and production parts across four processes, injection molding, CNC machining, 3D printing, and sheet metal fabrication, from nine owned factories in Minnesota, North Carolina, New Hampshire, the U.K., and Germany, backed by its Protolabs Network of outside manufacturing partners. The company employed 2,280 full-time workers as of December 31, 2025, 1,627 in the United States and 653 in Europe, with international sales contributing approximately 19% of 2025 revenue, down from 21% in each of the prior two years.

Protolabs earns revenue on a per-part, on-demand basis: customers upload 3D CAD files to its web platform, which generates an automated price quote and manufacturability feedback, and orders route either to an in-house factory or, through the 2021-acquired Protolabs Network, to a global roster of third-party manufacturing partners across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its top served industries are medical and healthcare, computer electronics, industrial machinery and equipment, aerospace, and automotive, and it competes against thousands of regional machine shops, injection molders, and 3D-printing bureaus, digital brokers offering similar manufacturer networks, and captive in-house manufacturing operations at large product developers. Research and development spending, aimed at expanding manufacturing processes and pricing/routing software, totaled $42.8 million in 2025, up from $41.3 million in 2024 and $40.1 million in 2023. In October 2024 the board approved closing the company's prototype injection-molding facility in Eschenlohe, Germany, and discontinuing metal 3D-printing services in Putzbrunn, Germany, substantially completed in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Show full overview

Protolabs' revenue is tied to customers' product-development budgets rather than steady-state production volume, an early-cycle exposure that showed up directly in 2025: the company closed its Eschenlohe, Germany injection-molding plant and discontinued Putzbrunn's metal 3D-printing line, completing the wind-down in the fourth quarter, while workforce attrition ran 13.6% in both the United States and Europe amid what the company describes as restructuring and transformation of the organization. Protolabs states it is redeploying the resulting cost savings into automation, core-systems, and digital-capability investments rather than into new facility capacity, a posture consistent with a company managing through softer prototype and low-volume demand rather than expanding to meet it.

See also: Industrials · Metal Fabrication

From Proto Labs, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Feb 5, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.7
P/E (Fwd)28.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn6.0%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational revenue19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our international revenue accounted for approximately 19%, 21% and 21% of our total revenue in each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    COO Michael Kenison announced plans to retire effective July 1, 2026, thanked for his service. Separately, Bernardo Parlange was appointed Chief Commercial Officer, a newly created role overseeing global commercial strategy, effective May 18, 2026. Clean, non-adversarial executive transition.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Vol Acceleration
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.5x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.67Resistance $99.96

Price Targets

$65
$86
A.Upside+24.9%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-05 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRLB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $68.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $64.67. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PRLB stock price target?

Analyst target: $86.06 (+24.9% upside). Prior stop was $64.67. Stop-loss: $64.67.

What are the risks of investing in PRLB?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is PRLB overvalued or undervalued?

Proto Labs, Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.7 (forward 28.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PRLB?

11 analysts cover PRLB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Proto Labs, Inc. do?Protolabs, Inc. is a digital manufacturing company producing custom prototype and low-volume production parts, via...

Protolabs, Inc. is a digital manufacturing company producing custom prototype and low-volume production parts, via injection molding, CNC machining, 3D printing, and sheet metal fabrication, for over 300,000 customers including 95% of the Fortune 100. Customers order through an automated online quoting platform, and Protolabs fulfills parts through nine owned U.S. and European factories plus its Protolabs Network of third-party manufacturing partners; approximately 19% of 2025 revenue came from international sales.

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