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CRSCarpenter Technology CorporatioSell5.6·$563.98+7.83%
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Carpenter Technology Corporatio (CRS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $563.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-4.7% away).

Carpenter Technology Corporation, founded in 1889, is engaged in the manufacturing, fabrication and distribution of specialty metals. As used throughout this report, unless the context requires otherwise, the terms "Carpenter," "Carpenter Technology," "Company," "Registrant,"... Read more

$563.98-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 9 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.16%
IncomeYield0.15%(5y avg 1.27%)Payout8.42%sustainable
Stop $523.08Target $552.58(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$469.50-16.8%8 analysts
$552.58our TP
$563.98price
$469.50mean
$400

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $563.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-4.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-4.7% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.9
P/E (Fwd)41.3
Mkt Cap$26.0B
EV/EBITDA34.5
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE24.9%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.15%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV56%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    - Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Board Expansion and Brian J.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
3.8
Quality Rank
7.6

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.3
Forward Pe
2.7
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.4
Peg Ratio
7.8
Forward P/E: 41.3xPEG: 0.87

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
91 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $390.00Resistance $563.86

Price Targets

$523
$553
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-27.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $563.98 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-4.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $523.08. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $552.58 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $523.08. Stop-loss: $523.08.

What are the risks of investing in CRS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-4.7% away); Expensive valuation.

Is CRS overvalued or undervalued?

Carpenter Technology Corporatio trades at a P/E of 54.9 (forward 41.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRS?

14 analysts cover CRS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $470.

What does Carpenter Technology Corporatio do?Carpenter Technology Corporation, founded in 1889, is engaged in the manufacturing, fabrication and distribution of...

Carpenter Technology Corporation, founded in 1889, is engaged in the manufacturing, fabrication and distribution of specialty metals. As used throughout this report, unless the context requires otherwise, the terms "Carpenter," "Carpenter Technology," "Company," "Registrant," "Issuer," "we" and "our" refer to Carpenter Technology Corporation.

Related stocks: MLI (Mueller Industries, Inc.) · GPGI (GPGI, Inc.) · CMC (Commercial Metals Company) · WOR (Worthington Enterprises, Inc.) · ATI (ATI Inc.)
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