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ATIATI Inc.Sell5.0·$187.13+3.88%
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ATI Inc. (ATI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $187.13 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace & defense end markets (68.0%).

ATI Inc. produces specialty materials (nickel-based alloys, titanium, superalloys, zirconium, hafnium) through two segments: HPMC (precision forgings, components, metallic powders) and AA&S (flat-rolled specialty alloys). In fiscal 2025, $4.6B total revenue; aerospace & defense... Read more

$187.13-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#8 of 9 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.39%
Stop $174.03Target $185.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$179.56-4.0%9 analysts
$185.91our TP
$187.13price
$179.56mean
$170
$194

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $187.13 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace & defense end markets (68.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace & defense end markets (68.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-2.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.5
P/E (Fwd)33.3
Mkt Cap$24.6B
EV/EBITDA30.8
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE22.7%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomeraerospace & defense end markets68%
    10-K Item 1: 'Aerospace & defense, our largest end markets, represent approximately 68% of total sales'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational sales42%
    10-K Item 1: 'International sales represent approximately 42% of our total annual sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
6.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.3
Peg Ratio
6.0
Ps
6.7
Forward P/E: 33.3xPEG: 1.24
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
91 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $146.34Resistance $189.70

Price Targets

$174
$186
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $187.13 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace & defense end markets (68.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $174.03. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $185.91 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $174.03. Stop-loss: $174.03.

What are the risks of investing in ATI?

Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace & defense end markets (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.1% away).

Is ATI overvalued or undervalued?

ATI Inc. trades at a P/E of 59.5 (forward 33.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATI?

15 analysts cover ATI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $180.

What does ATI Inc. do?ATI Inc. produces specialty materials (nickel-based alloys, titanium, superalloys, zirconium, hafnium) through two...

ATI Inc. produces specialty materials (nickel-based alloys, titanium, superalloys, zirconium, hafnium) through two segments: HPMC (precision forgings, components, metallic powders) and AA&S (flat-rolled specialty alloys). In fiscal 2025, $4.6B total revenue; aerospace & defense represents ~68% of total sales, with HPMC deriving ~92% of its revenue from that market.

Related stocks: MLI (Mueller Industries, Inc.) · GPGI (GPGI, Inc.) · CMC (Commercial Metals Company) · CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporatio) · WOR (Worthington Enterprises, Inc.)
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