Skip to main content
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.Sell6.6·$138.09+1.92%
Open full analysis

Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $138.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact... Read more

$138.09-1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 9 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.27%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout14.42%sustainable
Stop $129.61Target $136.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$149.00+7.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $138.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.1
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$15.3B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn19.4%
ROE28.3%
Rev Growth19.3%
Beta1.11
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$180+30.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $123.61Resistance $138.81

Price Targets

$130
$136
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $138.09 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $129.61. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $136.03 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $129.61. Stop-loss: $129.61.

What are the risks of investing in MLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MLI overvalued or undervalued?

Mueller Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLI?

6 analysts cover MLI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $149.

What does Mueller Industries, Inc. do?Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of...

Mueller Industries, Inc. (the Company) is a leading manufacturer of copper, brass, and aluminum products. The range of products we manufacture is broad: copper tube and fittings; line sets; steel nipples; brass rod, bar, and shapes; aluminum and brass forgings; aluminum impact extrusions; refrigeration valves and fittings; compressed gas valves; pressure vessels; insulated flexible duct systems; and high-quality wire and cable solutions.

Related stocks: GPGI (GPGI, Inc.) · CMC (Commercial Metals Company) · RYZ (Ryerson Holding Corporation) · CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporatio) · PRLB (Proto Labs, Inc.)
Home Stocks MLI

Latest news

Latest News

AD HOC NEWS62d ago
MarketBeat63d agoEarnings
MarketBeat58d ago
Yahoo Finance64d ago
MSN64d ago
GuruFocus59d ago
Sahm60d ago
Benzinga14d ago
Benzinga18d ago
Benzinga55d ago
Benzinga55d ago