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MIDDThe Middleby CorporationSell6.1·$109.00+0.64%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Middleby Corporation combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging about 10% above consensus, a PEG ratio of 0.31 indicating valuation well below the growth rate, and a confirmed technical breakout — but with only 3.9% headroom to the near-term target and elevated put positioning, the setup is better suited to maintaining an existing position than initiating a new one.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Streak QualityImproving
  • Valuation Growth Peg DiscountStable
  • Technical Breakout AccumulationImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Stock Analysis

SellValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $109.00: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and... Read more

$109.00+23.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#6 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.33%
Stop $103.58Target $135.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$155.22+42.4%9 analysts
$135.04our TP
$109.00price
$155.22mean
$169

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $109.00: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 23%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn-13.9%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV345%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 1-9973 | | 36-3352497 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | ---|---|--- 1400 Toastmaster Drive, Elgin, Illinois | | 60120 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) | | (Zip Code) (847) 741-3300 (Registrant...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $104.24Resistance $118.59

Price Targets

$104
$135
A.Upside+23.1%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$155

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIDD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $109.00: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $103.58. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIDD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.04 (+23.1% upside). Prior stop was $103.58. Stop-loss: $103.58.

What are the risks of investing in MIDD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is MIDD overvalued or undervalued?

The Middleby Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MIDD?

17 analysts cover MIDD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $155.

What does The Middleby Corporation do?The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary...

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and service of a broad line of (i) foodservice equipment, integrated IoT solutions and universal controllers used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens and (ii) food preparation, cooking, baking, chil...

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