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MIDDThe Middleby CorporationSell6.2·$157.54+1.68%
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The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $157.54, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and... Read more

$157.54+7.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.60%
Stop $147.70Target $169.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$195.25+23.9%8 analysts
$169.87our TP
$157.54price
$195.25mean
$206

Sell if holding. At $157.54, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — The Middleby Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 26, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Adoption of Executive Severance Plan On May 20, 2026, the Compensation Committee ("Compensation Committee") of the Board of Directors of the Middleby Corporation (the "Company") adopted The Middleby Corporation Executive Severance Plan (the "ESP"), under which the Company's named executive office...

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn-12.7%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta1.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.38bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$175+11.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 25, 2026, the board of directors of The Middleby Corporation (the "Company") appointed Brittany Cerwin (age 42) as Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately. Ms. Cerwin has been Chief Accounting Officer of the Company since May 2023. Prior to becoming Chief Accounting Officer, Ms.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 5, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The Middleby Corporation (the "Company") appointed Glenn A. Eisenberg as a director of the Company. In connection with his appointment to the Board, Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $139.20Resistance $165.47

Price Targets

$148
$170
A.Upside+7.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIDD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $157.54, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $147.70. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIDD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.87 (+7.8% upside). Prior stop was $147.70. Stop-loss: $147.70.

What are the risks of investing in MIDD?

Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is MIDD overvalued or undervalued?

The Middleby Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MIDD?

16 analysts cover MIDD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $195.

What does The Middleby Corporation do?The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary...

The Middleby Corporation, a Delaware corporation ("Middleby" or the "company"), through its operating subsidiary Middleby Marshall Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Middleby Marshall") and its subsidiaries, is a leader in the design, manufacture, marketing, distribution, and service of a broad line of (i) foodservice equipment, integrated IoT solutions and universal controllers used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens and (ii) food preparation, cooking, baking, chil...

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