Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge
Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $147.26 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: GCU; Negative momentum.
Grand Canyon Education is an education services company providing technology, marketing, counseling, and back-office services to 20 university partners across the U.S., with Grand Canyon University (GCU, 131,800 students) as its most significant partner. Revenue is primarily... Read more
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $147.26 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: GCU; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS What To Expect From Grand Canyon Education’s (LOPE) Q1 Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS What To Expect From Grand Canyon Education’s (LOPE) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS What To Expect From Grand Canyon Education’s (LOPE) Q1 Earnings - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- NEWS LOPE Q1 2026 Earnings: Earnings Beat Estimates Amid Enrollment Stability - Special Dividend Alert - thelegaladvocate.com — thelegaladvocate.com positive
- NEWS LOPE Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Surpasses Estimates, Stock Slips Slightly - Annual Earnings Summary - thelegaladvocate.com — thelegaladvocate.com positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerGCU10-K Item 1A: 'We expect the revenue derived from our Master Services Agreement with GCU to account for a large percentage of our revenue for the foreseeable future.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOWGrand Canyon Education appointed Dilek Marsh as Chief Information Officer effective February 9, 2026, consolidating the CIO and CTO roles. Ms. Marsh had been serving as the Company's Chief Technology Officer since July 2021.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $147.26 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross); recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: GCU; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $177.93 (+23.6%), stop $137.75 (−4.5%), Setup A.R:R 4.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $177.93 (+27.7% upside). Target $177.93 (+23.6%), stop $137.75 (−4.5%), Setup A.R:R 4.1:1. Stop-loss: $137.75.
Concentration risk — Customer: GCU; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
8 analysts cover LOPE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $209.
What does Grand Canyon Education, Inc. do?Grand Canyon Education is an education services company providing technology, marketing, counseling, and back-office...
Grand Canyon Education is an education services company providing technology, marketing, counseling, and back-office services to 20 university partners across the U.S., with Grand Canyon University (GCU, 131,800 students) as its most significant partner. Revenue is primarily derived from a Master Services Agreement with GCU, structured as a percentage of tuition revenue under a bundled services model.