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PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, IncBuy Wait6.9·$28.38+0.89%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phoenix Education Partners screens cheap on a PEG basis with a strong Piotroski quality score and an imminent earnings catalyst backed by a 3-of-4 beat streak, though falling on-balance volume tempers the near-term technical picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Falling Obv Momentum CautionImproving
  • Cheap Peg ValuationStable
  • Strong Piotroski QualityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Wait for pullback to $27.20. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $28.38. Engine's entry $27.20 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%).

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily working adult learners, with average total degreed enrollment of 81,900 students and net revenue of $1,007 million in fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal... Read more

$28.38+26.8% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#2 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield17.48%
IncomeYield3.02%Payout19.25%sustainable
Entry $27.20(support + ATR (held))Stop $24.80Target $36.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$41.38+45.8%8 analysts
$36.00our TP
$28.38price
$41.38mean
$51

Wait for pullback to $27.20. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $28.38. Engine's entry $27.20 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

About Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

Phoenix Education Partners' University of Phoenix generated $1,007 million in net revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal 2023, serving an Average Total Degreed Enrollment of 81,900 students — 66,300 undergraduate and 15,600 graduate. Degree-granting programs across 72 degree and 33 non-degree certificate programs accounted for approximately 97% of net revenue, and roughly 32% of enrollment came through employer-relationship (B2B) tuition-discount programs.

Phoenix Education Partners earns tuition revenue predominantly from working-adult students enrolled either directly or through employer partnerships that provide discounted tuition, with bachelor's programs making up 70% of fiscal 2025 degreed enrollment, master's 16%, associate's 11%, and doctoral 3%. The University of Phoenix, accredited by the Higher Learning Commission since 1978, competes against more than 5,000 U.S. colleges and universities in a fragmented post-secondary market, differentiating on affordability, flexible asynchronous learning, and skills-badge credentialing built on an AI-enabled technology platform for student engagement monitoring and enrollment support. Since Apollo Global Management and Vistria Group acquired the University's predecessor in 2017, the company narrowed its footprint to a single Phoenix, Arizona campus, exited non-core international schools, and completed an October 2025 initial public offering in which the two sponsors sold $156.4 million of existing shares without the company receiving proceeds.

Show full overview

Phoenix Education Partners' single largest exposure is regulatory, not competitive: the 10-K discloses that the University derived 88.6% of its cash-basis revenue from Title IV federal financial aid funds in its most recent fiscal year, putting it squarely under the Department of Education's 90/10 Rule, which requires for-profit institutions to draw at least 10% of revenue from non-Title IV sources. If that percentage were projected to exceed or reach 90% in a given fiscal year, the company would need to raise tuition, cut costs, or make programmatic changes to bring the ratio back into compliance — any of which the filing says could materially affect its financial condition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

From Phoenix Education Partners, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202690d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%)
Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%)
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE25.3%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta
Dividend3.02%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryTitle IV funds89%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 88.6% of our cash basis revenue from Title IV funds in our most recent fiscal year'
  • HIGHProductdegree-granting programs97%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our degree-granting programs represented approximately 97% of our net revenue for fiscal year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.58Resistance $30.96

Price Targets

$25
$27
$36
A.Upside+26.8%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts14
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$41

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PXED stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.20. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $28.38. Engine's entry $27.20 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $36.00 (+26.8%), stop $24.80 (−14.4%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PXED stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.00 (+26.8% upside). Target $36.00 (+26.8%), stop $24.80 (−14.4%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $24.80.

What are the risks of investing in PXED?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%); Below 200-day MA.

Is PXED overvalued or undervalued?

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PXED?

14 analysts cover PXED with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Phoenix Education Partners, Inc do?Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily...

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily working adult learners, with average total degreed enrollment of 81,900 students and net revenue of $1,007 million in fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal 2023. Degree-granting programs generated approximately 97% of net revenue, and the university derived 88.6% of its cash-basis revenue from Title IV federal financial aid funds.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation)
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