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PXEDPhoenix Education Partners, IncHold6.5·$34.30-2.03%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phoenix Education Partners screens cheap on a PEG basis with a strong Piotroski quality score and an imminent earnings catalyst backed by a 3-of-4 beat streak, though falling on-balance volume tempers the near-term technical picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Falling Obv Momentum CautionStable
  • Cheap Peg ValuationStable
  • Strong Piotroski QualityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Earnings in 7 days (2026-07-14). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%).

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily working adult learners, with average total degreed enrollment of 81,900 students and net revenue of $1,007 million in fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal... Read more

$34.30+13.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#4 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.44%Payout7.71%sustainable
Stop $31.90Target $38.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$44.63+30.1%8 analysts
$38.82our TP
$34.30price
$44.63mean
$54

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

About Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

Phoenix Education Partners' University of Phoenix generated $1,007 million in net revenue for fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal 2023, serving an Average Total Degreed Enrollment of 81,900 students — 66,300 undergraduate and 15,600 graduate. Degree-granting programs across 72 degree and 33 non-degree certificate programs accounted for approximately 97% of net revenue, and roughly 32% of enrollment came through employer-relationship (B2B) tuition-discount programs.

Phoenix Education Partners earns tuition revenue predominantly from working-adult students enrolled either directly or through employer partnerships that provide discounted tuition, with bachelor's programs making up 70% of fiscal 2025 degreed enrollment, master's 16%, associate's 11%, and doctoral 3%. The University of Phoenix, accredited by the Higher Learning Commission since 1978, competes against more than 5,000 U.S. colleges and universities in a fragmented post-secondary market, differentiating on affordability, flexible asynchronous learning, and skills-badge credentialing built on an AI-enabled technology platform for student engagement monitoring and enrollment support. Since Apollo Global Management and Vistria Group acquired the University's predecessor in 2017, the company narrowed its footprint to a single Phoenix, Arizona campus, exited non-core international schools, and completed an October 2025 initial public offering in which the two sponsors sold $156.4 million of existing shares without the company receiving proceeds.

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Phoenix Education Partners' single largest exposure is regulatory, not competitive: the 10-K discloses that the University derived 88.6% of its cash-basis revenue from Title IV federal financial aid funds in its most recent fiscal year, putting it squarely under the Department of Education's 90/10 Rule, which requires for-profit institutions to draw at least 10% of revenue from non-Title IV sources. If that percentage were projected to exceed or reach 90% in a given fiscal year, the company would need to raise tuition, cut costs, or make programmatic changes to bring the ratio back into compliance — any of which the filing says could materially affect its financial condition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

From Phoenix Education Partners, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Phoenix Education Partners, Inc

Generated 2026-07-08T21:03:53Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 14, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%)
Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%)
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn9.6%
ROE
Rev Growth-0.4%
Beta
Dividend2.44%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryTitle IV funds89%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derived 88.6% of our cash basis revenue from Title IV funds in our most recent fiscal year'
  • HIGHProductdegree-granting programs97%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our degree-granting programs represented approximately 97% of our net revenue for fiscal year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
4.8
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $29.27Resistance $35.77

Price Targets

$32
$39
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PXED stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $38.82 (+13.2%), stop $31.90 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PXED stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.82 (+13.2% upside). Target $38.82 (+13.2%), stop $31.90 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $31.90.

What are the risks of investing in PXED?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Title IV funds (88.6%); Concentration risk — Product: degree-granting programs (97.0%); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is PXED overvalued or undervalued?

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PXED?

14 analysts cover PXED with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Phoenix Education Partners, Inc do?Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily...

Phoenix Education Partners operates the University of Phoenix, an online, for-profit university serving primarily working adult learners, with average total degreed enrollment of 81,900 students and net revenue of $1,007 million in fiscal 2025, up from $835 million in fiscal 2023. Degree-granting programs generated approximately 97% of net revenue, and the university derived 88.6% of its cash-basis revenue from Title IV federal financial aid funds.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
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