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EDUNew Oriental Education & TechnoHold6.3·$55.82+2.27%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Trading at a forward P/E of 10.9x with a PEG below 1, the stock offers value pricing for its growth profile — three of the past four quarters have beaten consensus estimates with an average positive surprise above 22%, free cash flow has converted at 147% of net income, and analyst consensus implies roughly 35% upside to the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Analyst UpsideImproving
  • Momentum Recovery In ProgressDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New Oriental Education & Techno (EDU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label... Read more

$55.82+18.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#6 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.15%Payout40.00%sustainable
Stop $52.58Target $66.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$73.57+31.8%20 analysts
$66.21our TP
$55.82price
$73.57mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta0.23
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C11.50bearish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$70+25.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.01Resistance $60.23

Price Targets

$53
$66
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EDU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $55.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $66.21 (+18.6%), stop $52.58 (−6.2%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EDU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.21 (+18.6% upside). Target $66.21 (+18.6%), stop $52.58 (−6.2%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $52.58.

What are the risks of investing in EDU?

Negative momentum.

Is EDU overvalued or undervalued?

New Oriental Education & Techno trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EDU?

23 analysts cover EDU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $74.

What does New Oriental Education & Techno do?New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New...

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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